Match Info

Jia League - Round 21

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Pingguo Stadium (Pingguo)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao		Dingnan United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	2.85	2.65
	2.52	2.92	2.68
	2.65	3.03	2.81
	1.42	4.29	7.22	Watch
	2.62	2.75	2.62
	2.56	2.91	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.48)	3.13 ↑ (3.05)	3.44 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
40.7%

Draw
31.1%

Dingnan United
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

29.6%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

31.8%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Dingnan United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dingnan United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Dingnan United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Guangxi (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangxi (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. He Lipan (C) 35. Zhu Yue 4. Feng Yifan 5. Yao Diran 34. Xiang Rongjun 11. Liu Hao 32. You Wenjie 10. Asamoah S. 8. Hu Jiajin 44. Fan Chao 43. Cheukoua M.	13. Dong Yifan (C) 33. Yan Jiahao 35. Liu Jiahui 4. Sihan W. 34. Ependi Nizamdin 8. Zhang Zimin 7. Zhang Jiansheng 6. Zhu Jiaxuan 19. Li Suda 22. He Shaolin 9. Ma Chenghao
Substitutes
19. Chen Quanjiang 28. Chen Shaohao 25. Chen Shihao 33. Ding Quancheng 29. Fu Shang 45. Huang Wei 20. Jiang Zhengjie 13. Wang Jinshuai (G) 27. Wei Guoren 17. Yang Jingfan 36. Yang Minjie 38. Zhang Wei	26. Chen Liming 11. Erikys 18. Fan Bojian 27. Ge Yifan (G) 41. Luo Dongxu 10. Tang Shi 20. Tiago Fernandes 45. Wei Zixian 29. Xu Jiajun 15. Yang Fan 16. Zhou Pinxi
Coaches
Maeda K.	Liu Jianye

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Fan Chao ⚽, Liu Hao (A),
39', Sihan W. 🟥,
45+6', 2 - 0, Feng Yifan ⚽, Liu Hao (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Zhu Jiaxuan ↓, Tiago Fernandes ↑,
46', Ma Chenghao ↓, Erikys ↑,
52', Zhang Jiansheng ↓, Tang Shi ↑,
52', Fan Chao 🟥,
53', He Shaolin ↓, Xu Jiajun ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Xu Jiajun ⚽, Li Suda (A),
58', Liu Hao ↓, Yang Minjie ↑,
58', Asamoah S. ↓, Chen Quanjiang ↑,
60', Tang Shi 🟨,
69', Xiang Rongjun ↓, Huang Wei ↑,
69', Ependi Nizamdin ↓, Wei Zixian ↑,
69', Hu Jiajin ↓, Yang Jingfan ↑,
79', Zhang Zimin ↓, Fan Bojian ↑,
82', You Wenjie ↓, Zhang Wei ↑,
86', 3 - 1, Zhang Wei ⚽, Cheukoua M. (A),
90+1', Chen Quanjiang 🟨,
90+4', Erikys 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 7).

Guangxi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dingnan United is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guangxi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Chinese Jia League
10.08.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shenzhen Juniors	3:2 ✺
27.07.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Suzhou Dongwu	0:0 ✺
20.07.25	Nanjing City - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Liaoning Tieren - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 WWTLL
- Jiangxi Dingnan United
Chinese Jia League
10.08.25	Dingnan United - Foshan Nanshi	3:0 ✺
03.08.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Dingnan United	0:2 ✺
27.07.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Dingnan United	0:1 ✺
20.07.25	Dingnan United - Shaanxi Union	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dingnan United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.5 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
27.04.25	Dingnan United - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:2

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