Match Info

Jia League - Round 19

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Pingguo Stadium (Pingguo)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao		Shenzhen Juniors

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.75
	2.25	3.25	2.75	Watch
	3.05	3.25	2.39
	1.72	3.83	4.33	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.8
	2.31	3.28	2.77	Watch
	2.1	3.15	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.2)	3.28 ↓ (3.3)	2.92 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
40.3%

Draw
28.1%

Shenzhen Juniors
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

27.2%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

26%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Shenzhen Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Juniors than the current prediction. (-1%)

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shenzhen Juniors Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Shenzhen Juniors (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Shenzhen Juniors (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shenzhen Juniors (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. He Lipan (C) 35. Zhu Yue 5. Yao Diran 4. Feng Yifan 34. Xiang Rongjun 11. Liu Hao 32. You Wenjie 10. Asamoah S. 39. Lu Chenghe 38. Zhang Wei 43. Cheukoua M.	23. Cheng Yuelei (C) 3. Benhaddouche C. 25. Gao J. 16. Zhou Xin 14. Huang Jiajun 27. Zhao S. 33. Tian Yifan 10. Xie Baoxian 18. Shi Yucheng 45. Huang K. 38. Nouble J.
Substitutes
19. Chen Quanjiang 28. Chen Shaohao 33. Ding Quancheng 44. Fan Chao 29. Fu Shang 45. Huang Wei 8. Hu Jiajin 20. Jiang Zhengjie 13. Wang Jinshuai (G) 27. Wei Guoren 17. Yang Jingfan 36. Yang Minjie	21. Chen Y. 4. Gao K. 7. Han Guanghui 17. Hu Ming 6. Liang Rifu 36. Lin F. 29. Lin Zefeng 26. Mai Sijing 5. Marcic M. 9. Nzuzi Mata K. 19. Su Yuliang 1. Wang Shihan (G)
Coaches
Maeda K.	Zhang Jun

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Zhang Wei ⚽, Liu Hao (A),
23', Lu Chenghe ↓, Hu Jiajin ↑,
32', Gao J. ↓, Gao K. ↑,
45+5', 1 - 1, Liu Hao (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Liu Hao ↓, Yang Minjie ↑,
46', Zhao S. ↓, Nzuzi Mata K. ↑,
60', Huang Jiajun 🟨,
64', 1 - 2, Nzuzi Mata K. (Pen),
66', Yao Diran ↓, Fan Chao ↑,
71', Xiang Rongjun ↓, Wei Guoren ↑,
71', You Wenjie ↓, Chen Quanjiang ↑,
75', Cheukoua M. 🟨,
77', Shi Yucheng ↓, Liang Rifu ↑,
78', Huang K. ↓, Lin F. ↑,
82', Zhang Wei ↓, Yang Jingfan ↑,
83', Nzuzi Mata K. ↓, Hu Ming ↑,
84', Tian Yifan 🟨,
90+4', Benhaddouche C. ↓, Mai Sijing ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Cheukoua M. (Pen),
90+15', Huang Jiajun ↓, Han Guanghui ↑,
90+17', 3 - 2, Zhu Yue ⚽, Hu Jiajin (A),
90+18', Zhu Yue 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 13).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guangxi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 40.78%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Chinese Jia League
27.07.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Suzhou Dongwu	0:0 ✺
20.07.25	Nanjing City - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Liaoning Tieren - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:0 ✺
05.07.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shaanxi Union	0:0 ✺
28.06.25	Ningbo Professional - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLLTL
- Shenzhen Juniors FC
Chinese Jia League
26.07.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Shenzhen Juniors	2:1 ✺
21.07.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Ningbo Professional	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Foshan Nanshi - Shenzhen Juniors	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Shenzhen Juniors	0:2 ✺
28.06.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Dingnan United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
13.04.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:0

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