Match Info

League One - Round 24

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Dingnan Football Youth Training Center (Dingnan)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Dingnan United		Foshan Nanshi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.50	3.60
	1.62	3.65	4.2	Watch
	1.69	3.9	4.8
	1.79	3.71	4.12	Watch
	1.66	3.75	4.75
	1.69	3.79	4.73	Watch
	1.66	3.8	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.76)	3.73 ↑ (3.6)	4.36 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dingnan United
54.2%

Draw
24.7%

Foshan Nanshi
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

25.3%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

24.3%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dingnan United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Foshan Nanshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foshan Nanshi than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Dingnan United - Foshan Nanshi Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Dingnan United will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Xiao Yuanming (G) 34. Hao Yucheng 3. Zhu Mingxin 4. Daciel 16. Li Zhi 10. Tang Shi 17. Chen Po-Liang 6. Zhu Jiaxuan 7. Palacios M. 18. Fan Bojian (C) 11. Erikys	26. Ge Yifan (G) 22. Jiang Z. 2. Qian Yumiao 12. Liu Zongyuan 19. Liu H. 3. Jiang W. 24. Deletic M. 29. Xu Yue 13. Zhang Xingbo (C) 25. Aniwar Abduwahap 11. Ndiaye M.
Substitutes
1. Du Jia (G) 23. Du Junpeng 22. Gao S. 19. Han Yuchen 21. Hu Jiajin 37. Petrov M. 45. Yang B. 24. Yang Chen (G) 33. Yan Jiahao 32. Zhang Ruiqi 2. Zhang Yujie 8. Zhang Zimin	15. Benavides N. 9. Chang Feiya 5. Jin Liangkuan 7. Mu Zihan 33. Qin Haoqing (G) 37. Shi Liang 31. Yao Hui 28. Yin B. 21. Yu Zean 14. Zheng Junwei 10. Zhong Ziqin
Coaches
Mao Biao	Yao L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Erikys (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jiang Z. ↓, Zhong Ziqin ↑,
46', Jiang W. ↓, Benavides N. ↑,
61', Aniwar Abduwahap ↓, Chang Feiya ↑,
68', Fan Bojian ↓, Du Junpeng ↑,
77', Tang Shi ↓, Hu Jiajin ↑,
77', Xu Yue ↓, Zheng Junwei ↑,
77', Chen Po-Liang ↓, Gao S. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Deletic M. ⚽, Ndiaye M. (A),
86', Li Zhi ↓, Petrov M. ↑,
86', Hao Yucheng ↓, Zhang Zimin ↑,
90', Zhang Xingbo 🟨,
90+3', Daciel 🟨,
90+5', Chang Feiya 🟨,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 13th and 16th in the Relegation ~ League Two).

Both teams have struggled badly to pick up points in their latest fixtures.

Bookmakers give the edge to Dingnan United for this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Dingnan United has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 1.3:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dingnan United against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Dingnan Ganlian	25	4	12	9	35:46	-11	24
16	Foshan Nanshi	25	3	7	15	25:49	-24	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangxi Dingnan United
Chinese Jia League
12.09.26	Changchun Yatai - Dingnan United	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Shaanxi Union - Dingnan United	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Dingnan United - Suzhou Dongwu	3:4 ✺
22.08.26	Dingnan United - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	Nanjing City - Dingnan United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLT
- Foshan Nanshi
Chinese Jia League
12.09.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Foshan Nanshi	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Foshan Nanshi - Dalian Kun City	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Foshan Nanshi - Shenzhen Juniors	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Changchun Yatai - Foshan Nanshi	6:0 ✺
16.08.26	Foshan Nanshi - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
23.05.26	Foshan Nanshi - Dingnan United	1:1
10.08.25	Dingnan United - Foshan Nanshi	3:0
23.04.25	Foshan Nanshi - Dingnan United	0:0

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