Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 22

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Sammaurese		Maceratese

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.18
	3	3.04	2.25
	3.27	3.32	2.06	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.25
	3.09	3.08	2.21
	3.1	3	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (3.05)	3.07 ↓ (3.3)	2.2 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sammaurese
29.5%

Draw
29.4%

Maceratese
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

27.1%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

25.1%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sammaurese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Maceratese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sammaurese than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maceratese than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Sammaurese - Maceratese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Ruani E. ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, Adrian O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 3, Marras N. ⚽,
69', 0 - 4, Ciabuschi J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Sammaurese is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Maceratese is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Maceratese might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sammaurese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Maceratese	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Sammaurese
Italian Serie D - Group F
25.01.26	UniPomezia - Sammaurese	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Sammaurese - Chieti	3:0 ✺
11.01.26	Recanatese - Sammaurese	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Sammaurese - Castelfidardo	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Sammaurese - San Marino Calcio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TWTWT
- SS Maceratese
Italian Serie D - Group F
25.01.26	Maceratese - Sora	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Fossombrone - Maceratese	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Maceratese - Ostia Mare	1:3 ✺
04.01.26	Vigor Senigallia - Maceratese	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Maceratese - Chieti	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
28.09.25	Maceratese - Sammaurese	2:0

Sammaurese - Maceratese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide