Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 29

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Francavilla		Heraclea

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.82
	2.4	3.1	2.83	Watch
	2.38	3.02	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.35)	3.04 ↑ (3)	2.81 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francavilla
38%

Draw
29.7%

Heraclea
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

29.9%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

29.1%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Heraclea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francavilla than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heraclea than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Francavilla - Heraclea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Francavilla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Francavilla	6	1	0	5	3:7	-4	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Francavilla
Italian Serie D - Group H
22.03.26	Nardo - Francavilla	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Francavilla - Città di Fasano	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Nola - Francavilla	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Francavilla - Real Normanna	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Gravina - Francavilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWTL
- Heraclea Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
22.03.26	Heraclea - Sarnese	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Fidelis Andria - Heraclea	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Heraclea - Virtus Francavilla	1:3 ✺
22.02.26	Nardo - Heraclea	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Heraclea - Nola	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
16.11.25	Heraclea - Francavilla	0:1

Francavilla - Heraclea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide