Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Francavilla		Virtus Francavilla

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.15	2.52
	2.52	3.35	2.52	Watch
	2.52	3.16	2.5
	2.57	3.14	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.54)	3.2 ↓ (3.26)	2.52 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francavilla
35.8%

Draw
28.3%

Virtus Francavilla
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

27.9%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Virtus Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francavilla than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Virtus Francavilla aligns with the current prediction.

Francavilla - Virtus Francavilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
90+1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 11).

Francavilla is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Virtus Francavilla has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Francavilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Francavilla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Francavilla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Virtus Francavilla - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 35.98%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Francavilla
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.12.25	Francavilla - Nocerina	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group H
30.11.25	Acerrana - Francavilla	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Francavilla - Fidelis Andria	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
19.11.25	Francavilla - Città di Fasano	3:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group H
16.11.25	Heraclea - Francavilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WLTWW
- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
30.11.25	Fidelis Andria - Virtus Francavilla	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Virtus Francavilla - Afragolese	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Nardo - Virtus Francavilla	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	Virtus Francavilla - Acerrana	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Nola - Virtus Francavilla	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
12.01.25	Virtus Francavilla - Francavilla	2:2
28.02.16	Francavilla - Virtus Francavilla	0:1

Francavilla - Virtus Francavilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide