Match Info

Date: 6 November 2021, Saturday


	Fredrikstad		Aalesunds

	1	X	2
	2.9	4	2.2
	2.75	3.8	2.15
	2.85	4	2.1	Watch
	2.9	3.75	2.09
	3.01	4.28	2.14
	2.88	3.6	2.15
	2.97	4	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.32)	3.92 ↑ (3.55)	2.14 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredrikstad
32.3%

Draw
23.9%

Aalesunds
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

25.6%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

18.4%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fredrikstad's form might have worsened.

Aalesunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aalesunds's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (+22.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fredrikstad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (-18.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aalesunds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fredrikstad - Aalesunds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Play Offs) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

Recent matches Fredrikstad is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aalesunds is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fredrikstad won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Fredrikstad won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.11.21	Sandnes Ulf - Fredrikstad	2:1 ✺
29.10.21	Fredrikstad - Åsane	2:3 ✺
24.10.21	Grorud - Fredrikstad	1:2 ✺
20.10.21	Fredrikstad - Strømmen	3:1 ✺
16.10.21	Bryne - Fredrikstad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWWW
- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.11.21	Aalesunds - Start	3:2 ✺
29.10.21	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Aalesunds	2:4 ✺
24.10.21	Aalesunds - Sandnes Ulf	2:2 ✺
20.10.21	Ranheim - Aalesunds	3:3 ✺
17.10.21	Aalesunds - Sogndal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
12.06.21	Aalesunds - Fredrikstad	2:2
Norwegian Eliteserien
27.08.12	Fredrikstad - Aalesunds	1:3
15.07.12	Aalesunds - Fredrikstad	3:0

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