Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 9

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: EXTRA Arena (Trondheim)

Referee: Sletner S. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Ranheim		Aalesunds

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.3	3.5	1.95
	3.3	3.75	2.05	Watch
	3.23	3.65	2.25
	3.18	3.54	2.13	Watch
	3.4	3.3	1.95
	3.14	3.44	2.18	Watch
	3.3	3.75	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (3.2)	3.54 ↓ (3.65)	2.09 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ranheim
28.8%

Draw
26.4%

Aalesunds
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

25.1%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

23.9%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ranheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Aalesunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ranheim than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Ranheim - Aalesunds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nilsen S. (G) 19. Pereira J. 4. Rosten H. 2. Slordahl P. (C) 15. Tonne E. 21. Johnsen M. 8. Holden O. 18. Camara F. 11. Wenaas V. 20. Alvheim L. 10. Samuelsen A.	1. Grytebust S. (G) 4. Haram S. 5. Kjelsen A. 45. Aukland P. 11. Johannsson D. 6. Hammer H. 15. Gregersen J. 8. Melland H. 7. Nesso K. 19. Heiselberg F. 9. Ngongo P. (C)
Substitutes
9. Bye B. 5. Diang M. 14. Emilsen M. 6. Kolstad L. 23. Myrvagnes E. S. 30. Solvoll T. (G) 17. Torp-Helland D.	10. Braga C. 33. Doving M. V. 3. Gudmundsson O. 34. Gulbrandsen T. 25. Kitolano J. 26. Larsen T. (G) 39. Lonebu K.
Coaches
Rismark Ch.	Rekdal K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Ngongo P. ⚽, Heiselberg F. (A),
18', Haram S. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Samuelsen A. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Haram S. ↓, Kitolano J. ↑,
46', Gregersen J. ↓, Gudmundsson O. ↑,
58', Wenaas V. ↓, Kolstad L. ↑,
60', Heiselberg F. ↓, Braga C. ↑,
60', Melland H. ↓, Lonebu K. ↑,
67', Kolstad L. 🟨,
69', Alvheim L. ↓, Bye B. ↑,
78', Ngongo P. 🟨,
78', Nilsen S. 🟨,
82', Holden O. ↓, Emilsen M. ↑,
89', Aukland P. 🟥,
90', 2 - 1, Samuelsen A. (Pen),
90+2', Samuelsen A. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ranheim won 1.

Ranheim has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aalesunds is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Aalesunds may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Aalesunds has had a series of home games.

Aalesunds is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ranheim won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 2.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ranheim won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 2.2:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ranheim IL
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
25.05.25	Åsane - Ranheim	2:1 ✺
15.05.25	Ranheim - Raufoss	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Mjøndalen - Ranheim	1:4 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.05.25	Ranheim - Egersund	2:3 penalties ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.05.25	Ranheim - Kongsvinger	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTWLW
- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
24.05.25	Aalesunds - Start	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
20.05.25	Aalesunds - Hamarkameratene	3:2 penalties ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.05.25	Aalesunds - Hødd	2:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
12.05.25	Aalesunds - Bodø Glimt	1:0 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.05.25	Aalesunds - Raufoss	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
15.02.25	Ranheim - Aalesunds	3:4
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.10.24	Ranheim - Aalesunds	0:1
23.06.24	Aalesunds - Ranheim	1:2
20.10.21	Ranheim - Aalesunds	3:3
Norwegian NM Cup
22.09.21	Ranheim - Aalesunds	1:2 penalties
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.08.21	Aalesunds - Ranheim	1:1
Club Friendly
11.03.20	Aalesunds - Ranheim	1:3

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