Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 27

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Sandnes Ulf		Fredrikstad

	1	X	2
	4	3.8	1.85	Watch
	3.7	3.7	1.8
	4	3.75	1.83	Watch
	4.05	3.87	1.87
	4.06	3.87	1.85
	3.7	3.75	1.75
	4.05	3.92	1.79
	3.75	3.7	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (3.67)	3.8 ↑ (3.72)	1.82 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandnes Ulf
23.9%

Draw
24.7%

Fredrikstad
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

25.1%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

24.6%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandnes Ulf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandnes Ulf than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Sandnes Ulf - Fredrikstad Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Fredrikstad will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Lonning S. A. A. (G) 2. Kleppa H. 3. Berger E. (C) 18. Oregaard H. 11. Stolas A. 8. Moldskred M. 17. Halgunset I. 22. Tadesse H. 21. Austbo E. 10. Hoiland T. 9. Diaw M.	1. Jensen H. (G) 6. Aukland P. 22. Woledzi M. 17. Kvile S. 12. Metcalfe P. 16. Konte A. 19. Magnusson J. (C) 13. Sorlokk S. 4. Molde S. 14. Bjartalid J. 29. Aga O.
Substitutes
32. Bertelsen N. 19. Braut D. 29. Delaveris F. 1. Falch A. (G) 33. Gjertson N. 15. Jensen H. 16. Kringstad E. 25. Osenbroch E.	11. Alba R. 20. Asheim H. 18. Begby L. 2. Bjorkstrom T. 9. Johansen H. 25. Langbraten O. (G) 27. Lassen M. 26. Nielsen M. 3. Skaret B.
Coaches
Berntsen B.	Thomassen M.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

Fredrikstad is Qualified for Eliteserien

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sandnes Ulf won 2.

Recent matches Sandnes Ulf is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fredrikstad is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Fredrikstad is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Sandnes Ulf won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Sandnes Ulf won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sandnes Ulf
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
07.10.23	Skeid - Sandnes Ulf	3:0 ✺
30.09.23	Sandnes Ulf - Start	1:0 ✺
27.09.23	Hødd - Sandnes Ulf	1:1 ✺
24.09.23	Raufoss - Sandnes Ulf	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Sandnes Ulf - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWTTL
- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
08.10.23	Åsane - Fredrikstad	0:4 ✺
01.10.23	Fredrikstad - Raufoss	3:0 ✺
23.09.23	Ranheim - Fredrikstad	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Fredrikstad - Sogndal	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Start - Fredrikstad	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
30.04.23	Fredrikstad - Sandnes Ulf	0:0
11.09.22	Fredrikstad - Sandnes Ulf	1:2
09.05.22	Sandnes Ulf - Fredrikstad	0:4
01.11.21	Sandnes Ulf - Fredrikstad	2:1
20.05.21	Fredrikstad - Sandnes Ulf	2:1
05.11.17	Fredrikstad - Sandnes Ulf	3:0
17.04.17	Sandnes Ulf - Fredrikstad	0:0

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