Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 25

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Color Line Stadion (Ålesund)

Referee: Hauge S. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Aalesunds		Sogndal

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.9	4.75
	1.61	3.9	4.6
	1.65	4.05	4.65
	1.64	4.21	4.92
	1.30	5.38	8.67	Watch
	1.64	4.05	4.61
	1.63	3.95	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.58)	4.21 ↓ (4.4)	5.24 ↑ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalesunds
59.6%

Draw
22.4%

Sogndal
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

21.4%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

21.1%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalesunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Sogndal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sogndal than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Aalesunds - Sogndal Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aalesunds (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Aalesunds will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grytebust S. (G) 4. Haram S. 5. Kjelsen A. 15. Skuseth N. 7. Nesso K. 66. Seehusen J. 6. Hammer H. 8. Melland H. 16. Orsahl J. 39. Lonebu K. 9. Ngongo P.	21. Saetren D. (G) 2. Bras D. 33. Granheim S. A. 13. Flo P. 8. Flaten J. 6. Hoyland M. 19. Pippola T. 10. Skaanes K. 16. Vapne L. 9. Hintsa O. 7. Pedersen S.
Substitutes
29. Boe J. 23. Froysa E. 3. Gudmundsson O. 19. Heiselberg F. 11. Johannsson D. 25. Kitolano J. 26. Larsen T. (G) 17. Myrlid E. 36. Ytterland T.	36. Aroy M. 20. Asp P. 18. Hagen V. 22. Kalstad A. 31. Nundal J. 17. Sjolstad M. 38. Sundal A. (G)
Coaches
Rekdal K.	Pimenta L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Pippola T. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Ngongo P. (Pen),
33', Seehusen J. 🟨,
44', Ngongo P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, Lonebu K. ⚽, Seehusen J. (A),
66', Melland H. ↓, Johannsson D. ↑,
67', Hintsa O. ↓, Asp P. ↑,
67', Hoyland M. ↓, Sjolstad M. ↑,
70', Lonebu K. ↓, Myrlid E. ↑,
73', Johannsson D. 🟨,
86', Ngongo P. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aalesunds won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Aalesunds may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Aalesunds is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aalesunds won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:27. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Aalesunds won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
29.09.25	Odd - Aalesunds	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.09.25	Lysekloster - Aalesunds	1:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.09.25	Aalesunds - Skeid	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Raufoss - Aalesunds	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Aalesunds - Egersund	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWL
- Sogndal Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
28.09.25	Sogndal - Kongsvinger	2:2 ✺
21.09.25	Lyn - Sogndal	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Sogndal - Lillestrøm SK	1:5 ✺
30.08.25	Åsane - Sogndal	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Sogndal - Moss	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
05.04.25	Sogndal - Aalesunds	3:4
05.10.24	Sogndal - Aalesunds	0:1
16.05.24	Aalesunds - Sogndal	0:2
Club Friendly
23.02.24	Sogndal - Aalesunds	2:3
25.02.23	Aalesunds - Sogndal	3:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
17.10.21	Aalesunds - Sogndal	3:0
18.06.21	Sogndal - Aalesunds	2:0

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