Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 28

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	Fredrikstad		Mjøndalen

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.47	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.48	4.3	5.9
	1.47	4.7	6.35
	1.4	4.2	6.5
	1.46	4.45	6.55	Watch
	1.45	4.3	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.48)	4.39 ↑ (4.33)	6.29 ↑ (5.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredrikstad
63.9%

Draw
21.2%

Mjøndalen
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

21.4%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

20.7%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Mjøndalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Fredrikstad - Mjøndalen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jensen H. (G) 22. Woledzi M. 26. Nielsen M. 17. Kvile S. 12. Metcalfe P. 7. Hendriksson B. 19. Magnusson J. (C) 13. Sorlokk S. 18. Begby L. 14. Bjartalid J. 29. Aga O.	1. Kinn T. (G) 2. Eriksen S. 23. Holten R. 3. Skogen S. 5. Overby S. 38. Granaas S. 8. Sveen O. (C) 7. Ovenstad M. 27. Tokstad K. 24. Pedersen M. 15. Reutersward L.
Substitutes
11. Alba R. 20. Asheim H. 6. Aukland P. 2. Bjorkstrom T. 28. Hermansen I. B. 9. Johansen H. 25. Langbraten O. (G) 27. Lassen M. 3. Skaret B.	18. Appiah S. 9. Bringaker M. 29. Bro P. S. (G) 21. Robertsen J. 17. Singh B. 6. Solberg J.
Coaches
Thomassen M.	Nicol K.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien and 12).

Fredrikstad is Qualified for Eliteserien

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fredrikstad won 4.

Fredrikstad in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Mjøndalen is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Fredrikstad is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Fredrikstad to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Fredrikstad won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Fredrikstad won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.10.23	Sandnes Ulf - Fredrikstad	2:3 ✺
08.10.23	Åsane - Fredrikstad	0:4 ✺
01.10.23	Fredrikstad - Raufoss	3:0 ✺
23.09.23	Ranheim - Fredrikstad	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Fredrikstad - Sogndal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWW
- Mjøndalen IF
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.10.23	Mjøndalen - Start	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Raufoss - Mjøndalen	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	Mjøndalen - Skeid	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Mjøndalen	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Mjøndalen - Bryne	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
24.04.23	Mjøndalen - Fredrikstad	0:1
Club Friendly
11.02.23	Mjøndalen - Fredrikstad	0:3
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.10.22	Fredrikstad - Mjøndalen	2:1
25.04.22	Mjøndalen - Fredrikstad	2:0
Club Friendly
04.02.22	Fredrikstad - Mjøndalen	1:0
25.04.21	Mjøndalen - Fredrikstad	1:4
05.02.21	Fredrikstad - Mjøndalen	Canceled

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