Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 14

Date: 2 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Fredrikstad Stadion (Fredrikstad)

Referee: Hatam A. (Nor)


	Fredrikstad		Ranheim

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.78	3.6	3.9
	1.73	3.8	4.35
	1.79	3.83	4.39
	1.78	3.4	4
	1.79	3.82	4.25	Watch
	1.82	3.6	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2)	3.66 ↑ (3.2)	4.15 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredrikstad
52.1%

Draw
25.4%

Ranheim
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

28.2%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

27.1%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fredrikstad's performance.

Ranheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ranheim than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Fredrikstad - Ranheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Fredrikstad will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fredrikstad: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jensen H. (G) 6. Aukland P. 26. Nielsen M. 3. Skaret B. 5. Rafn S. 12. Metcalfe P. 19. Magnusson J. 16. Konte A. 4. Molde S. 14. Bjartalid J. 11. Alba R.	1. Lenes M. (G) 16. Qvigstad L. 23. Kristiansen H. 2. Rismark Ch. 15. Tonne E. 8. Alte R. 6. Tromsdal J. 7. Reginiussen M. 9. Bye B. 20. Gunnes A. 24. Tounekti S.
Substitutes
18. Begby L. 2. Bjorkstrom T. 27. Hendriksson B. 21. Jansson O. 25. Langbraten O. (G) 10. Lima L. 23. Maden M. 33. Stensland F. 24. Williams N.	5. Haugen S. 18. Kvithyld B. 14. Marklund S. 21. Pedersen M. 10. Saeter J. 12. Venn F. (G)
Coaches
Thomassen M.	Ingebrigtsen K.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fredrikstad won 1.

Fredrikstad is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ranheim is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Fredrikstad is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Fredrikstad won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 16-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Fredrikstad won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
24.06.23	Sogndal - Fredrikstad	0:1 ✺
11.06.23	Fredrikstad - Start	3:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.06.23	Fredrikstad - Viking Stavanger	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.06.23	Raufoss - Fredrikstad	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.06.23	Ørn-Horten - Fredrikstad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLTW
- Ranheim IL
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
24.06.23	Ranheim - Mjøndalen	2:3 ✺
11.06.23	Kongsvinger - Ranheim	3:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.06.23	Ranheim - Bodø Glimt	0:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.06.23	Ranheim - Moss	2:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.06.23	Strindheim - Ranheim	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
14.08.22	Fredrikstad - Ranheim	1:1
29.05.22	Ranheim - Fredrikstad	3:2
27.11.21	Fredrikstad - Ranheim	3:1
02.07.21	Ranheim - Fredrikstad	1:1
24.10.17	Fredrikstad - Ranheim	1:2
13.05.17	Ranheim - Fredrikstad	1:0
02.10.16	Fredrikstad - Ranheim	1:7

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