Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 11

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday

Location: Fredrikstad Stadion (Fredrikstad)

Referee: Grotta M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Norway	TV2 Play


	Fredrikstad		Start

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.75	4	Watch
	1.88	3.7	3.95	Watch
	1.89	3.9	4.19
	1.87	3.94	4.12	Watch
	1.8	3.6	3.9
	1.85	3.81	4.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.94)	3.78 ↑ (3.71)	4.04 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredrikstad
51.4%

Draw
25.1%

Start
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

25.7%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

23.4%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Start has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fredrikstad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Start than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Fredrikstad - Start Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Fredrikstad will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). Start will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fredrikstad: 60.7% – 93.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fredrikstad (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Borsheim M. (G) 4. Holme F. 12. Fredriksen U. 5. Rafn S. 16. Eid D. 6. Leach S. 21. Shein R. R. 13. Sorlokk S. (C) 20. Ohlenschlaeger O. 23. Skogvold H. 9. Laghzaoui S.	1. Larsen J. (G) 29. Reitan E. 5. Jebali O. 6. Norheim J. (C) 3. Ujkani A. 16. Strannegard T. 10. Mvoue S. 23. Segberg E. 18. Ugland M. 20. Lorentzen H. 17. Cornelius J.
Substitutes
3. Andresen A. 7. Faraas B. 19. Ghebreyohannes F. 15. Granaas E. 14. Nilsson M. 18. Norbye J. 35. Nordrum E. 26. Nysveen J. 1. Ovretveit O. (G)	22. Ampofo J. 39. Birkenes D. C. (G) 30. Gausdal L. 13. Griesbeck S. 7. Gurendal A. F. 2. Palerud F. 14. Soomets M. 24. Strand-Kolbjornsen S. (G) 27. Toure O.
Coaches
Rojkjaer C.	Karadas A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Cornelius J. ⚽, Lorentzen H. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Mvoue S. 🟨,
56', Leach S. ↓, Nilsson M. ↑,
56', Laghzaoui S. ↓, Faraas B. ↑,
59', Mvoue S. ↓, Gausdal L. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Eid D. ⚽,
70', Lorentzen H. ↓, Gurendal A. F. ↑,
70', Jebali O. ↓, Toure O. ↑,
72', Cornelius J. ↓, Ampofo J. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Ohlenschlaeger O. ⚽, Eid D. (A),
83', Ujkani A. 🟨,
85', Sorlokk S. ↓, Ghebreyohannes F. ↑,
89', Skogvold H. ↓, Norbye J. ↑,
90+3', Ujkani A. 🟨,
90+5', Ghebreyohannes F. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fredrikstad won 3.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Start may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fredrikstad is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Fredrikstad: Kvile S. (Knee Injury) Owusu S. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Start: Meyer J. (Groin Injury) Nordal M. (Illness) Tonnesen K. (Leg Injury) Torkildsen J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Fredrikstad: Nunez J. (Leg Injury) Owusu L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Start: Schulze E. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Fredrikstad won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:11. (average 2.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Fredrikstad won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Outrights of Norwegian Eliteserien for now

Fredrikstad: 0.1%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Fredrikstad	21	8	4	9	25:32	-7	28
16	Start	21	4	4	13	22:44	-22	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
25.05.26	Sandefjord - Fredrikstad	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Fredrikstad - Hamarkameratene	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Sarpsborg 08 - Fredrikstad	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Brann - Fredrikstad	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	Fredrikstad - Viking Stavanger	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWLLL
- IK Start
Norwegian Eliteserien
25.05.26	Start - Vålerenga	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Start - Bodø Glimt	1:4 ✺
16.05.26	Viking Stavanger - Start	6:3 ✺
03.05.26	Start - Tromsø	1:1 ✺
30.04.26	Bodø Glimt - Start	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.09.23	Start - Fredrikstad	2:2
11.06.23	Fredrikstad - Start	3:1
31.07.22	Start - Fredrikstad	1:0
18.04.22	Fredrikstad - Start	1:0
26.09.21	Start - Fredrikstad	2:6
18.08.21	Fredrikstad - Start	2:2
17.09.17	Fredrikstad - Start	2:1

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