Match Info

Date: 4 August 2022, Thursday

Location: Fredrikstad Stadion (Fredrikstad)

Referee: Hagen T. (Nor)


	Fredrikstad		Stabæk

	1	X	2
	4	3.6	1.85
	3.9	3.9	1.79
	3.65	3.55	1.87
	3.83	3.84	1.95
	3.6	3.4	1.85
	3.72	3.75	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.53)	3.67 ↑ (3.61)	1.86 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredrikstad
24.6%

Draw
25.4%

Stabæk
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

25.6%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

28.4%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Stabæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.4%	9.7%	71%

Fredrikstad - Stabæk Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Fredrikstad will win (votes: 6 - 19.4%). Stabæk will win (votes: 22 - 71%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stabæk: 55% – 87%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fredrikstad won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Stabæk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Stabæk will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Fredrikstad won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Fredrikstad won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
31.07.22	Start - Fredrikstad	1:0 ✺
27.07.22	Fredrikstad - Raufoss	0:4 ✺
24.07.22	Fredrikstad - Grorud	3:1 ✺
18.07.22	Bryne - Fredrikstad	0:2 ✺
11.07.22	Fredrikstad - Kongsvinger	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWWT
- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
31.07.22	Stabæk - Skeid	2:0 ✺
25.07.22	Sogndal - Stabæk	4:3 ✺
17.07.22	Stabæk - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	2:2 ✺
10.07.22	Brann - Stabæk	1:1 ✺
07.07.22	Stabæk - Stjørdals-Blink	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.06.22	Stabæk - Fredrikstad	0:0
Club Friendly
30.01.15	Stabæk - Fredrikstad	0:2
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.08.13	Stabæk - Fredrikstad	2:1
Norwegian NM Cup
30.05.13	Stabæk - Fredrikstad	3:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.05.13	Fredrikstad - Stabæk	4:0
Club Friendly
24.03.13	Stabæk - Fredrikstad	2:0
Norwegian Eliteserien
23.09.12	Stabæk - Fredrikstad	0:1

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