Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 15

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday

Location: Fredrikstad Stadion (Fredrikstad)

Referee: Kringstad S. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
World	Onefootball


	Fredrikstad		Strømsgodset

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.2	4.5	Watch
	1.63	4	4.75
	1.65	4.25	4.55	Watch
	1.72	4.26	4.73
	1.85	3.71	3.94	Watch
	1.62	4	4.8
	1.69	4.23	4.54	Watch
	1.64	4.35	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.64)	4.13 ↓ (4.35)	4.54 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredrikstad
56.2%

Draw
22.9%

Strømsgodset
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

21.6%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

20.4%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

The chances for Strømsgodset have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strømsgodset than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Fredrikstad - Strømsgodset Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Strømsgodset (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Strømsgodset (2.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Fredrikstad will win (33 of 39 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.3% – 95.94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fredrikstad will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Fredrikstad (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Strømsgodset (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Fischer J. (G) 5. Rafn S. (C) 12. Fredriksen U. 22. Woledzi M. 16. Eid D. 13. Sorlokk S. 6. Owusu L. 19. Shein R. R. 4. Molde S. 20. Ohlenschlaeger O. 23. Skogvold H.	1. Bratveit P. (G) 26. Vilsvik L. 25. Taaje J. 71. Valsvik G. (C) 27. Dahl F. 17. Bakke J. 10. Stengel H. 16. Vilaseca Ardraa F. P. 21. Farji M. 20. Conteh A. 80. Wikheim G.
Substitutes
18. Begby L. 14. Bjartalid J. 40. Granaas E. 9. Holten E. 17. Kvile S. 11. Metcalfe P. 2. Okpaleke K. 1. Ovretveit O. (G) 3. Skaret B.	99. Ampofo J. 15. Heredia-Randen A. 24. Johansen E. (G) 8. Krasniqi K. 6. Marcello Silalahi S. A. 77. Mehnert M. 5. Sormo B. 32. Stople F. (G) 4. Westerlund S.
Coaches
Hagen A.	Fagermo D

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Conteh A. (Own goal),
39', 1 - 1, Bakke J. ⚽, Wikheim G. (A),
45', Bakke J. 🟨,
45+5', 2 - 1, Sorlokk S. ⚽, Shein R. R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Skogvold H. ↓, Bjartalid J. ↑,
65', Bakke J. ↓, Krasniqi K. ↑,
65', Conteh A. ↓, Ampofo J. ↑,
65', Farji M. ↓, Mehnert M. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Krasniqi K. ⚽, Ampofo J. (A),
75', Sorlokk S. ↓, Holten E. ↑,
75', Shein R. R. ↓, Metcalfe P. ↑,
78', Woledzi M. 🟨,
81', Vilsvik L. ↓, Sormo B. ↑,
88', 3 - 2, Holten E. ⚽, Ohlenschlaeger O. (A),
90', Eid D. ↓, Skaret B. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fredrikstad won 1.

In recent matches, Fredrikstad has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Strømsgodset is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Fredrikstad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fredrikstad is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Fredrikstad: Fall F. (Inactive) Faraas B. (Leg Injury) Kvile S. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Strømsgodset: Andersen E. (Knee Injury) Ekeland J. (Knock) Melkersen E. (Knee Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Fredrikstad won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 2:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fredrikstad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
20.07.25	Hamarkameratene - Fredrikstad	1:1 ✺
16.07.25	Fredrikstad - Bodø Glimt	0:1 ✺
12.07.25	Fredrikstad - Molde	4:2 ✺
05.07.25	Vålerenga - Fredrikstad	1:1 ✺
29.06.25	Fredrikstad - Tromsø	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLWTL
- Strømsgodset IF
Norwegian Eliteserien
19.07.25	Molde - Strømsgodset	4:1 ✺
13.07.25	Strømsgodset - Tromsø	2:3 ✺
05.07.25	Viking Stavanger - Strømsgodset	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Strømsgodset - Vålerenga	0:2 ✺
22.06.25	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Strømsgodset	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
15.03.25	Fredrikstad - Strømsgodset	1:2
Norwegian Eliteserien
26.10.24	Strømsgodset - Fredrikstad	2:0
16.05.24	Fredrikstad - Strømsgodset	4:1
Club Friendly
23.03.24	Strømsgodset - Fredrikstad	1:1
31.01.23	Strømsgodset - Fredrikstad	3:2
02.05.21	Strømsgodset - Fredrikstad	1:6
Norwegian Eliteserien
27.07.12	Strømsgodset - Fredrikstad	5:0

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