Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 3

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg)

Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 6, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
Albania	Tring Sport 4
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 3, SportKlub 4
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	Sport TV3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Freiburg		Stuttgart

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.5	2.63	Watch
	2.75	3.7	2.37
	2.52	3.45	2.72	Watch
	2.88	3.75	2.42
	2.40	3.47	2.78	Watch
	3	3.4	2.2
	2.64	3.52	2.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (3.08)	3.54 ↓ (3.58)	2.54 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Freiburg
35.5%

Draw
26.9%

Stuttgart
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

26.7%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

26.4%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stuttgart could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	15.2%	57.6%

Freiburg - Stuttgart Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%). Stuttgart will win (votes: 19 - 57.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stuttgart: 40.7% – 74.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 3 - 30%). Stuttgart (votes: 5 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Freiburg (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Freiburg (1.51) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Freiburg (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Stuttgart (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Stuttgart (votes: 6 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Atubolu N. (G) 17. Kubler L. 28. Ginter M. 3. Lienhart P. 33. Makengo J. 8. Eggestein M. 6. Osterhage P. 19. Beste J. 44. Manzambi J. 32. Grifo V. (C) 9. Holer L.	33. Nubel A. (G) 4. Vagnoman J. 29. Jeltsch F. 24. Chabot J. 7. Mittelstadt M. 16. Karazor A. (C) 6. Stiller A. 27. Bouanani B. 11. El Khannouss B. 18. Leweling J. 9. Demirovic E.
Substitutes
20. Adamu J. 18. Dinkci E. 30. Gunter C. 27. Hofler N. 5. Jung A. 31. Matanovic I. 21. Muller F. (G) 7. Scherhant D. 29. Treu P.	30. Andres C. 22. Assignon L. 21. Drljaca S. (G) 10. Fuhrich C. 3. Hendriks R. 45. Jovanovic L. 28. Nartey N. 8. Tomas T. 23. Zagadou D.
Coaches
Schuster J.	Hoeness S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Demirovic E. ⚽, Leweling J. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
63', Bouanani B. ↓, Tomas T. ↑,
64', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
76', Mittelstadt M. ↓, Hendriks R. ↑,
76', Demirovic E. ↓, Andres C. ↑,
78', Holer L. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Matanovic I. ⚽, Kubler L. (A),
86', Osterhage P. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
86', Beste J. ↓, Dinkci E. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Scherhant D. ⚽,
89', Karazor A. ↓, Fuhrich C. ↑,
89', Vagnoman J. ↓, Assignon L. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Matanovic I. (Pen),
90+4', El Khannouss B. 🟨,
90+8', Schuster J. 🟨,
90+8', Manzambi J. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Stuttgart may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Stuttgart: Al Dakhil A. (Injury) Bredlow F. (Knee Injury) Diehl J. (Muscle Injury) Jaquez L. (Broken nose) Silas (Ankle Injury) Undav D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Stuttgart: Tomas T. (Illness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:42. (average 1.5:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.9:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
31.08.25	Köln - Freiburg	4:1 ✺
23.08.25	Freiburg - Augsburg	1:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
16.08.25	Sportfreunde Lotte - Freiburg	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Freiburg - Osasuna	2:2 ✺
18.07.25	Rheindorf Altach - Freiburg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWTW
- VfB Stuttgart
Club Friendly
03.09.25	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Stuttgart	2:6 ✺
German Bundesliga
30.08.25	Stuttgart - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
26.08.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Stuttgart	4:5 penalties ✺
German Bundesliga
23.08.25	Union Berlin - Stuttgart	2:1 ✺
German Super Cup
16.08.25	Stuttgart - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
18.01.25	Stuttgart - Freiburg	4:0
24.08.24	Freiburg - Stuttgart	3:1
03.02.24	Freiburg - Stuttgart	1:3
02.09.23	Stuttgart - Freiburg	5:0
11.02.23	Freiburg - Stuttgart	2:1
20.08.22	Stuttgart - Freiburg	0:1
22.01.22	Freiburg - Stuttgart	2:0

Upcoming Matches