Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: MHPArena (Stuttgart)

Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1
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	Stuttgart		Bayern Munich

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.75	1.62	Watch
	4.7	4.7	1.62	Watch
	4.76	4.95	1.63
	4.77	4.86	1.58	Watch
	4.33	4.5	1.62	Watch
	4.83	4.85	1.62	Watch
	4.75	4.75	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↓ (4.77)	4.77 ↓ (5.11)	1.61 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stuttgart
20.5%

Draw
20.1%

Bayern Munich
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

18.6%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

18.3%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.9%	20.6%	76.5%

Stuttgart - Bayern Munich Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Stuttgart will win (votes: 1 - 2.9%). Bayern will win (votes: 26 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 20.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 62.2% – 90.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - Stuttgart (4.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Bayern (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 1 - 20%). Bayern (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nubel A. (G) 4. Vagnoman J. 2. Al Dakhil A. 3. Hendriks R. 7. Mittelstadt M. 28. Nartey N. 30. Andres C. 6. Stiller A. 11. El Khannouss B. 26. Undav D. (C) 18. Leweling J.	40. Urbig J. (G) 27. Laimer K. 2. Upamecano D. 3. Kim Min-Jae 20. Bischof T. 6. Kimmich J. (C) 8. Goretzka L. 17. Olise M. 22. Guerreiro R. 14. Diaz L. 11. Jackson N.
Substitutes
22. Assignon L. 27. Bouanani B. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 24. Chabot J. 10. Fuhrich C. 29. Jeltsch F. 45. Jovanovic L. 16. Karazor A. 8. Tomas T.	7. Gnabry S. 21. Ito H. 9. Kane H. 42. Karl L. 1. Neuer M. (G) 45. Pavlovic A. 44. Stanisic J. 4. Tah J. 26. Ulreich S. (G)
Coaches
Hoeness S.	Kompany V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Al Dakhil A. 🟨,
4', Leweling J. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Laimer K. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
39', Bischof T. 🟨,
44', Upamecano D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Bischof T. ↓, Stanisic J. ↑,
56', Hoeness S. 🟨,
58', Goretzka L. 🟨,
60', Jackson N. ↓, Kane H. ↑,
60', Guerreiro R. ↓, Karl L. ↑,
61', Goretzka L. ↓, Pavlovic A. ↑,
61', Nartey N. ↓, Fuhrich C. ↑,
62', Diaz L. 🟨,
66', 0 - 2, Kane H. ⚽, Kimmich J. (A),
74', El Khannouss B. ↓, Tomas T. ↑,
74', Vagnoman J. ↓, Assignon L. ↑,
78', 0 - 3, Stanisic J. ⚽, Diaz L. (A),
81', Assignon L. 🟥,
82', 0 - 4, Kane H. (Penalty Awarded),
83', Upamecano D. ↓, Ito H. ↑,
88', 0 - 5, Kane H. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
90', Leweling J. ↓, Karazor A. ↑,
90', Undav D. ↓, Jeltsch F. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Recently, Stuttgart has had a series of away games.

In this match, Bayern is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Stuttgart: Demirovic E. (Foot Injury) Diehl J. (Ankle Injury) Jaquez L. (Muscle Injury) Keitel Y. (Thigh Injury) Silas (Ankle Injury) Zagadou D. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Knee Injury) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone)

There are questionable in Bayern: Pavlovic A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 18:53. (average 0.9:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Stuttgart won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 9:26. (average 0.9:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Stuttgart
German DFB Pokal
03.12.25	Bochum - Stuttgart	0:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
30.11.25	Hamburger SV - Stuttgart	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Stuttgart	0:4 ✺
German Bundesliga
22.11.25	Borussia Dortmund - Stuttgart	3:3 ✺
09.11.25	Stuttgart - Augsburg	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWTW
- Bayern Munich
German DFB Pokal
03.12.25	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
29.11.25	Bayern Munich - St. Pauli	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Arsenal - Bayern Munich	3:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
22.11.25	Bayern Munich - Freiburg	6:2 ✺
08.11.25	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

German Super Cup
16.08.25	Stuttgart - Bayern Munich	1:2
German Bundesliga
28.02.25	Stuttgart - Bayern Munich	1:3
19.10.24	Bayern Munich - Stuttgart	4:0
04.05.24	Stuttgart - Bayern Munich	3:1
17.12.23	Bayern Munich - Stuttgart	3:0
04.03.23	Stuttgart - Bayern Munich	1:2
10.09.22	Bayern Munich - Stuttgart	2:2

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