Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 26

Date: 16 February 2024, Friday

Location: Audi Sportpark (Ingolstadt)

Referee: Bauer T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Ingolstadt		Freiburg II

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	7	Watch
	1.37	4.8	7.5
	1.38	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.36	4.68	7.4
	1.38	5.17	8.26
	1.3	4.6	7
	1.35	4.85	7.65	Watch
	1.37	4.7	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.42)	4.76 ↑ (4.49)	7.46 ↑ (6.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ingolstadt
68.1%

Draw
19.5%

Freiburg II
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

20.6%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

19.4%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Freiburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.9%	2.6%	2.6%

Ingolstadt - Freiburg II Predictions

Users Predictions: Ingolstadt will win (37 of 39 users predict this - 94.87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.95% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Funk M. (G) 22. Costly M. 19. Cvjetinovic M. 32. Lorenz S. 6. Guwara L. 34. Frode L. (C) 29. Kopacz D. 48. Kayo B. 8. Kanuric B. 11. Gronning S. 7. Mause J.	38. Schneller L. (G) 17. Fallmann P. 13. Muller S. 3. Lungwitz A. 11. Stark J. 5. Rudlin F. 42. Marino L. 36. Ambros L. 22. Baur M. 29. Breunig M. 18. Al Ghaddioui H.
Substitutes
10. Dittgen M. 43. Keidel F. 33. Krupa J. 31. Kugel J. 25. Llugiqi A. 16. Malone R. 27. Nduka D. 40. Ponath M. (G) 23. Seiffert M.	25. Bichsel J. 19. Bouebari F. 23. Fahrner P. 33. Hornung S. (G) 28. Johansson R. 21. Lee Ji-Han 41. Manzambi J. 47. Ogbus B. 46. Sturm Y.
Coaches
Kollner M.	Stamm T.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ingolstadt is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Freiburg II has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Ingolstadt is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ingolstadt won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
11.02.24	1860 München - Ingolstadt	3:1 ✺
04.02.24	Ingolstadt - Dynamo Dresden	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Saarbrücken - Ingolstadt	0:2 ✺
24.01.24	Ingolstadt - Preußen Münster	1:1 ✺
20.01.24	Hallescher - Ingolstadt	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWTL
- Freiburg II
German 3 Bundesliga
10.02.24	Freiburg II - Arminia Bielefeld	0:3 ✺
03.02.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Freiburg II	4:3 ✺
27.01.24	Freiburg II - Verl	0:1 ✺
24.01.24	Unterhaching - Freiburg II	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Freiburg II - Borussia Dortmund II	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
24.09.23	Freiburg II - Ingolstadt	1:4
12.03.23	Ingolstadt - Freiburg II	0:1
03.09.22	Freiburg II - Ingolstadt	1:0

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