Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 24

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion an der Hafenstrasse (Essen)

Referee: Wittmann T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Rot-Weiß Essen		Freiburg II

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5.75
	1.51	4.2	5.75
	1.5	4.2	6	Watch
	1.48	4.25	6.2
	1.51	4.49	6.58
	1.44	4	5.8
	1.48	4.2	6.07	Watch
	1.48	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.57)	4.19 ↑ (3.95)	6.02 ↑ (5.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Essen
62.4%

Draw
22.1%

Freiburg II
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

23.5%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

23%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Essen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Freiburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	5.6%	5.6%

Rot Weiß Essen - Freiburg II Predictions

Users Predictions: Rot-Weiß Essen will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Golz J. (C) 19. Voufack E. 23. Rios Alonso J. 16. Kourouma M. 14. Brumme L. 10. Eisfeld T. 26. Musel T. 11. Obuz M. 8. Harenbrock C. 30. Young I. 20. Vonic L.	1. Uphoff B. (G) 27. Lang N. 13. Muller S. 25. Bichsel J. 23. Fahrner P. 5. Rudlin F. (C) 42. Marino L. 3. Lungwitz A. 28. Johansson R. 18. Al Ghaddioui H. 22. Baur M.
Substitutes
9. Berlinski R. 29. Doumbouya M. 33. Etri A. 18. Kaiser N. 3. Manu A. 37. Ruth F. 2. Voelcke S. 7. Wiegel A. 35. Wienand F. (G)	19. Bouebari F. 6. Braun-Schumacher S. 29. Breunig M. 17. Fallmann P. 41. Manzambi J. 38. Schneller L. (G) 46. Sturm Y. 43. Wagner N. 20. Worner M.
Coaches
Dabrowski C.	Stamm T.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Rot-Weiß Essen is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Freiburg II has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rot-Weiß Essen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rot-Weiß Essen is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rot-Weiß Essen won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Rot-Weiß Essen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 3 Bundesliga
28.01.24	Preußen Münster - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:1 ✺
23.01.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Viktoria Köln	3:1 ✺
19.01.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.01.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Zwickau	5:3 ✺
06.01.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Köln	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLWT
- Freiburg II
German 3 Bundesliga
27.01.24	Freiburg II - Verl	0:1 ✺
24.01.24	Unterhaching - Freiburg II	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Freiburg II - Borussia Dortmund II	0:0 ✺
20.12.23	Duisburg - Freiburg II	4:2 ✺
17.12.23	Viktoria Köln - Freiburg II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
02.09.23	Freiburg II - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:2
01.04.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Freiburg II	2:0
09.10.22	Freiburg II - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:3

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