Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 25

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Dreisamstadion (Freiburg)

Referee: Wienefeld J. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Freiburg II		Arminia Bielefeld

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	1.83
	3.8	3.6	1.87
	4	3.6	1.85	Watch
	3.8	3.55	1.91
	4.05	3.89	1.88
	3.6	3.5	1.8
	3.83	3.62	1.85
	3.8	3.6	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.53)	3.62 ↑ (3.56)	1.86 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg II
24.3%

Draw
25.7%

Arminia Bielefeld
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

26.3%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

23.7%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freiburg II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arminia Bielefeld, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Freiburg II - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Freiburg II will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Arminia will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Uphoff B. (G) 27. Lang N. 13. Muller S. 25. Bichsel J. 23. Fahrner P. 5. Rudlin F. 42. Marino L. 32. Gunter C. 28. Johansson R. 22. Baur M. 29. Breunig M.	1. Kersken J. (G) 24. Lannert C. 27. Gohlke G. 19. Grosser M. 4. Oppie L. 16. Corboz M. 8. Schreck S. 17. Biankadi M. 7. Shipnoski N. 9. Klos F. 25. Mizuta K.
Substitutes
18. Al Ghaddioui H. 36. Ambros L. 17. Fallmann P. 33. Hornung S. (G) 21. Lee Ji-Han 3. Lungwitz A. 11. Stark J. 46. Sturm Y. 43. Wagner N.	5. Belkahia S. 10. Boujellab N. 14. Momuluh T. 22. Oppermann L. (G) 34. Putaro L. 23. Schneider L. 39. Wintzheimer M. 38. Worl M. 11. Yildirim A.
Coaches
Stamm T.	Kniat M.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.

In this match Arminia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Freiburg II won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Freiburg II
German 3 Bundesliga
03.02.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Freiburg II	4:3 ✺
27.01.24	Freiburg II - Verl	0:1 ✺
24.01.24	Unterhaching - Freiburg II	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Freiburg II - Borussia Dortmund II	0:0 ✺
20.12.23	Duisburg - Freiburg II	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- Arminia Bielefeld
German 3 Bundesliga
03.02.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Viktoria Köln	0:2 ✺
27.01.24	Jahn Regensburg - Arminia Bielefeld	2:0 ✺
24.01.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Ulm 1846	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Preußen Münster - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.01.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
16.09.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Freiburg II	0:2

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