Match Info

Date: 18 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Dreisamstadion (Freiburg)

Referee: Hanslbauer P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Freiburg II		Osnabrück

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.37
	2.85	3.3	2.37
	2.6	3.6	2.38
	2.75	3.35	2.4
	2.85	3.7	2.43
	2.75	3.1	2.35
	2.8	3.46	2.36	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.32)	3.4 ↓ (3.46)	2.38 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg II
33.8%

Draw
27.3%

Osnabrück
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

26.6%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

25.4%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freiburg II's form might have worsened.

Osnabrück has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Osnabrück's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freiburg II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Osnabrück, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	40%	10%

Freiburg II - Osnabrück Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Freiburg II will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Osnabrück will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg II: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 14).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Freiburg II won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg II won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Freiburg II
German 3 Bundesliga
10.09.22	Wehen Wiesbaden - Freiburg II	3:1 ✺
03.09.22	Freiburg II - Ingolstadt	1:0 ✺
28.08.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Freiburg II	0:2 ✺
20.08.22	Freiburg II - Viktoria Köln	1:0 ✺
15.08.22	Duisburg - Freiburg II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWWL
- VfL Osnabrück
German 3 Bundesliga
09.09.22	Osnabrück - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Oldenburg - Osnabrück	4:3 ✺
27.08.22	Osnabrück - Saarbrücken	2:2 ✺
20.08.22	Wehen Wiesbaden - Osnabrück	1:1 ✺
13.08.22	Bayreuth - Osnabrück	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
30.04.22	Freiburg II - Osnabrück	4:1
28.11.21	Osnabrück - Freiburg II	0:1

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