The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Frosinone 50.1%
Draw 29%
Südtirol-Alto Adige 21%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.3%
29.8%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.8%
29.4%
29.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Frosinone's performance.
Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Südtirol-Alto Adige might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Frosinone that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Südtirol-Alto Adige could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
61.5%
23.1%
15.4%
Frosinone - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Frosinone will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Südtirol will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Frosinone: 35% – 88%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Frosinone will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Palmisani L. (G) 3. Calvani G. 20. Oyono A. 30. Monterisi I. (C) 79. Bracaglia G. 14. Calo G. 8. Koutsoupias I. 7. Ghedjemis F. 90. Vergani E. 92. Kone B. L. 17. Kvernadze G.
31. Adamonis M. (G) 28. Kofler R. 19. Pietrangeli N. 3. Bordon F. 79. Molina S. 18. Tronchin S. 8. Mallamo A. 24. Davi S. 21. Tait F. (C) 33. Merkaj S. 9. Pecorino E.
Substitutes
16. Cichella M. 2. Cittadini G. 6. Gelli J. 18. Grosso F. 12. Lolic E. (G) 5. Marchizza R. 32. Masciangelo E. 24. Ndow A. 21. Oyono J. 75. Pisseri M. (G) 27. Raychev A. 28. Zilli M.
46. Brik D. 23. Davi F. 94. El Kaouakibi H. 11. Italeng J. 6. Martini J. 90. Odogwu R. 1. Poluzzi G. (G) 13. Sabatini C. 62. Theiner D. (G) 7. Zedadka K.
Coaches
Alvini M.
Castori F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Calo G. (Pen),
30', 2 - 0, Ghedjemis F. ⚽, Koutsoupias I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Pecorino E. ↓, Odogwu R. ↑,
46', Bordon F. ↓, El Kaouakibi H. ↑,
64', Tait F. ↓, Martini J. ↑,
68', Mallamo A. ↓, Zedadka K. ↑,
69', Monterisi I. ↓, Cittadini G. ↑,
69', Kvernadze G. ↓, Masciangelo E. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Martini J. ⚽, Merkaj S. (A),
74', Calvani G. 🟨,
78', Calo G. 🟨,
78', Davi S. 🟨,
78', 2 - 2, Merkaj S. (Pen),
79', Merkaj S. 🟨,
83', Bracaglia G. ↓, Marchizza R. ↑,
84', Oyono A. ↓, Oyono J. ↑,
85', Tronchin S. ↓, Davi F. ↑,
89', Vergani E. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
Preview
Frosinone is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Südtirol has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Südtirol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Frosinone might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Frosinone: Barcella K.
(Inactive)
Biraschi D.
(Inactive)
Corrado N.
(Inactive)
Gori L.
(Inactive)
Hegelund V.
(Inactive)
Marchizza R.
(Inactive)
Selvini A.
(Knee Injury)
Sherri A.
(Injury)
There will not play in Südtirol: Coulibaly M.
(Inactive)
Veseli F.
(Inactive)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Frosinone won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.7).