The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Südtirol-Alto Adige 32.4%
Draw 33%
Sampdoria 34.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.2%
30.3%
32.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.7%
29%
33.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Sampdoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Südtirol Alto Adige - Sampdoria Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - over (1.56) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Plizzari A. (G) 4. Stivanello R. 55. Giorgini A. 27. Stabile G. 79. Molina S. (C) 10. Rispoli F. 5. Tronchin S. 24. Davi S. 9. Burnete R. 14. Vasic A. 25. Mixtur K.
12. Krastev A. (G) 29. Di Pardo A. 25. Ferrari A. (C) 15. Delli Carri F. 23. Depaoli F. 6. Henderson L. 28. Abildgaard O. 45. Makoumbou A. 11. Begic T. 16. Verschaeren Y. 9. Lauritsen T.
Substitutes
17. Anghele L. 46. Brik D. 23. Davi F. 39. Iuliano M. 90. Okoro A. 1. Ploner L. (G) 80. Schroot E. 21. Tait F. 12. Vadjunec R. (G) 3. Veroli D. 18. Zeroli K.
7. Cicconi M. 38. Diop K. 3. Gartenmann S. 14. Karamoh Y. 96. Massolo S. (G) 43. Mbabu K. 99. Tutino G. 1. Vindahl P. (G)
Coaches
Possanzini D.
D'Angelo L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Depaoli F. ↓, Cicconi M. ↑,
19', Cicconi M. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Verschaeren Y. ⚽, Begic T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Burnete R. ↓, Okoro A. ↑,
60', Davi S. ↓, Schroot E. ↑,
61', Stabile G. 🟨,
67', Lauritsen T. ↓, Tutino G. ↑,
67', Ferrari A. ↓, Gartenmann S. ↑,
67', Stabile G. ↓, Veroli D. ↑,
68', Gartenmann S. 🟨,
76', Vasic A. ↓, Brik D. ↑,
76', Tronchin S. ↓, Zeroli K. ↑,
82', Begic T. ↓, Karamoh Y. ↑,
83', Verschaeren Y. ↓, Mbabu K. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, Molina S. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Serie B Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 19th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 3.
The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.
Sampdoria could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Südtirol: Bjarkason B.
(Inactive)
El Kaouakibi H.
(Knee Injury)
Lopes V.
(Red Card)
Pyyhtia N.
(Hand Injury)
Varnier M.
(Muscle Injury)
Zeroli K.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Sampdoria: Conti F.
(Inactive)
Esposito Sa.
(Inactive)
Insigne L.
(Inactive)
Meijer B.
(Injury)
Sekulov N.
(Inactive)
Sinani D.
(Inactive)
Viti M.
(Inactive).
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Südtirol has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:7 (averaging 1.4:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Südtirol against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:3 goals (averaging 2.7:1 per game).