Match Info

Date: 11 March 2022, Friday


	Zaragoza		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	4.33	Watch
	1.88	3	4.1
	2	3.1	4.2	Watch
	1.95	3	4.3
	2	3.19	4.64
	1.85	3.25	4.5	Watch
	1.98	3.18	4.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.9)	3.12 ↓ (3.5)	4.34 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zaragoza
48.2%

Draw
30.2%

Fuenlabrada
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27.2%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

21.2%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zaragoza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.1%	20%	10.9%

Zaragoza - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 38 - 69.1%). Fuenlabrada will win (votes: 6 - 10.9%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zaragoza: 56.9% – 81.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Zaragoza has the most likely position - 13 (10.29%), has project points - 56, has currently - 39, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Fuenlabrada has the most likely position - 21 (41.15%), has project points - 39, has currently - 26, has a good chance of relegated (84%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 27, small importance 22, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Zaragoza is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fuenlabrada is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Zaragoza is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zaragoza won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Zaragoza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
04.03.22	Zaragoza - Almería	2:0 ✺
27.02.22	Sporting de Gijón - Zaragoza	1:2 ✺
19.02.22	Zaragoza - Las Palmas	2:1 ✺
11.02.22	Leganés - Zaragoza	2:1 ✺
05.02.22	Zaragoza - Málaga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWWLT
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish LaLiga2
05.03.22	Fuenlabrada - Burgos	1:2 ✺
25.02.22	Almería - Fuenlabrada	3:1 ✺
20.02.22	Fuenlabrada - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
13.02.22	Eibar - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
06.02.22	Fuenlabrada - Valladolid	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
12.09.21	Fuenlabrada - Zaragoza	1:1
05.04.21	Fuenlabrada - Zaragoza	0:1
06.12.20	Zaragoza - Fuenlabrada	1:0
08.02.20	Zaragoza - Fuenlabrada	0:0
16.10.19	Fuenlabrada - Zaragoza	2:1

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