The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Eibar 51.2%
Draw 28.7%
Fuenlabrada 20.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.8%
25.9%
17.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.6%
21.1%
14.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eibar's form might have worsened.
Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+18.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eibar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fuenlabrada, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Eibar - Fuenlabrada Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 20 in the zone Relegation).
Eibar has the most likely position - 1 (29.95%), has project points - 77, has currently - 52, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (41%), has a good chance of promoted (61%), has a chance of win league (30%).
Fuenlabrada has the most likely position - 21 (24.15%), has project points - 42, has currently - 24, has a good chance of relegated (68%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Eibar in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Fuenlabrada is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Eibar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Eibar have a series of guest games.
In this match Eibar is a favorite.
Fuenlabrada is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Last 1 head-to-head matches Eibar won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.