Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 25

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Anxo Carro (Lugo)


	Lugo		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.75	3.1
	2.45	2.75	2.87
	2.55	2.85	2.95	Watch
	2.45	2.91	3.1
	2.51	2.92	3.15
	2.49	2.83	3.09
	2.43	2.75	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.09)	2.82 ↑ (2.75)	3.04 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugo
37.2%

Draw
32.6%

Fuenlabrada
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

31.9%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

29.6%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fuenlabrada, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lugo - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diaz Parcero L. (G) 2. Martinez C. 4. Perez G. 14. Morgado C. 22. Lopez A. 21. da Costa M. 18. Jozabed 20. Ojeda T. 9. Quintana Nacho 11. Antonin 7. Ledesma L.	13. Belman (G) 2. Vigaray C. 16. Alba D. 5. Lama M. 32. Rodriguez S. 17. Ruiz Fer 8. Cristobal 23. Galindo A. 12. Buer S. 7. Hernandez R. 20. Sergio Benito
Substitutes
8. Aguza S. 23. Antonetti L. 10. Aranda A. 5. Bernardo 19. Fuentes A. 12. Louis-Jean J. 17. Merida F. 15. Narro V. 13. Tabuaco G. (G) 3. Vazquez J.	29. Benitez C. 10. Bravo A. 1. Diaz J. (G) 19. Hassaine I. 37. Javi Curras 35. Kara A. 30. Muriana J. 34. Reguilon M. 15. Sanchez A.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lugo won 0.

Recent matches Lugo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fuenlabrada is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lugo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lugo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Lugo won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Lugo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.02.24	Teruel - Lugo	1:2 ✺
11.02.24	Lugo - Osasuna B	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Real Unión de Irun - Lugo	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Lugo - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Lugo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTTWL
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.02.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Fuenlabrada	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Fuenlabrada - Sestao	3:1 ✺
04.02.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Fuenlabrada	4:1 ✺
27.01.24	Fuenlabrada - Barcelona B	1:2 ✺
20.01.24	Leonesa - Fuenlabrada	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.09.23	Fuenlabrada - Lugo	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
14.05.22	Lugo - Fuenlabrada	1:3
04.09.21	Fuenlabrada - Lugo	1:1
08.03.21	Lugo - Fuenlabrada	0:0
13.09.20	Fuenlabrada - Lugo	2:0
16.02.20	Fuenlabrada - Lugo	0:1
15.09.19	Lugo - Fuenlabrada	2:0

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