The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
V-Varen Nagasaki 30.7%
Draw 27.3%
Cerezo Osaka 41.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.1%
26.1%
47.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26%
26%
48%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cerezo Osaka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerezo Osaka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
14.3%
42.9%
V Varen Nagasaki - Cerezo Osaka Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Goto M. (G) 50. Shindo R. 29. Arai I. 6. Egawa Y. 23. Yoneda S. 5. Yamaguchi H. (C) 24. Yamada R. 22. Onaga H. 10. Matheus Jesus 41. Hasegawa M. 9. Thiago
23. Nakamura K. (G) 27. Cools D. 44. Hatanaka S. 4. Inoue R. 16. Okuda H. 10. Tanaka S. (C) 36. Irvine J. 66. Ohata A. 77. Fernandes L. 28. Okazawa K. 9. Sakuragawa S.
Substitutes
21. Diego Pituca 31. Doi K. 13. Hatano G. (G) 8. Iwasaki Y. 88. Masuyama A. 34. Matsumoto T. 20. Nakamura K. 19. Sawada T. 18. Yamasaki R.
31. Abe K. (G) 15. Hernandez J. 2. Nakamura T. 19. Sabbag P. 17. Sakata R. 97. Takahashi T. 11. Thiago Andrade 7. Uejo S.
Coaches
Takagi T.
Machin P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Hatanaka S. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
17', Yamada R. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Matheus Jesus ⚽, Onaga H. (A),
41', Irvine J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Yoneda S. 🟨,
51', 1 - 1, Fernandes L. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Yoneda S. ↓, Masuyama A. ↑,
58', Yamada R. ↓, Diego Pituca ↑,
68', Nakamura K. 🟨,
73', Thiago ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
77', Fernandes L. ↓, Thiago Andrade ↑,
82', Matheus Jesus ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
83', Arai I. ↓, Doi K. ↑,
84', Cools D. 🟨,
88', Okazawa K. ↓, Uejo S. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Cerezo Osaka could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Cerezo Osaka is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for V-Varen Nagasaki: Emerson Deocleciano
(Knee Injury)
Nagura T.
(Illness).
Confirmed absences for Cerezo Osaka: Kambayashi G.
(Shoulder Injury)
Shibayama M.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, V-Varen Nagasaki has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:13 (averaging 1.1:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for V-Varen Nagasaki against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:4 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
Australia
China
Hong-kong
Japan
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Goto M. (G) 
Matheus Jesus 
Cools D. 
Irvine J. 
Hernandez J. 
Sabbag P. 
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