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Current Win Probability
Fukushima United 18.8%
Draw 22.3%
Omiya Ardija 58.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.2%
19.2%
66.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.4%
18.1%
70.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fukushima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Omiya Ardija might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fukushima United than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fukushima United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Omiya Ardija could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fukushima United - Omiya Ardija Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
78. Jung Sung-Ryong (G) 19. Fujita J. 17. Fujitani T. 29. Tsuchiya K. 23. Anzai T. 10. Harigaya T. 14. Nakamura T. 30. Kano K. 7. Ashibe K. 40. Higuchi H. 8. Okada Y.
1. Kasahara T. (G) 44. Kidera S. 34. Murakami Y. 5. Gabriel 22. Motegi R. 8. Kaua Diniz 33. Wada T. 11. Caprini 45. Yamamoto O. 14. Izumi T. 20. Hidaka H.
Substitutes
77. Chiba T. 32. Einaga T. 20. Izumi S. 11. Miura K. 9. Shimizu K. 26. Tanaka K. 5. Toma H. 6. Uehata U. 22. Yoshimaru K. (G)
6. Ishikawa T. 17. Kanda T. 3. Kato H. 15. Nakayama K. 88. Nishio R. 37. Sekiguchi K. 23. Sugimoto K. 90. Sunday O. 50. Wakabayashi M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Ashibe K. 🟨,
39', Anzai T. ↓, Toma H. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Okada Y. ↓, Shimizu K. ↑,
57', Motegi R. 🟨,
67', Shimizu K. 🟨,
72', Nakamura T. ↓, Uehata U. ↑,
74', Kidera S. ↓, Sekiguchi K. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Izumi T. ⚽,
81', Caprini ↓, Sugimoto K. ↑,
90', Fujita J. ↓, Chiba T. ↑,
90+1', Hidaka H. ↓, Sunday O. ↑,
90+1', Izumi T. ↓, Ishikawa T. ↑,
90+1', Kaua Diniz ↓, Nakayama K. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Tsuchiya K. ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 2, Sekiguchi K. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Omiya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Omiya is considered a favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fukushima United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 1:3.7).
Including home match between the teams, Fukushima United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
China
Japan
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Jung Sung-Ryong (G) 
Fujita J. 
Gabriel 
Sunday O. 
