Match Info

National League - Round 46

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday

Location: Mill Farm (Wesham)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK, DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA


	Fylde		Barnet

	1	X	2
	7	4.33	1.36
	6.25	4.6	1.36
	8	5.2	1.33
	7.93	5.43	1.31
	8.53	5.08	1.33	Watch
	9	4.8	1.3
	8.8	5.15	1.29
	8	5.2	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.94 ↑ (6.58)	4.97 ↑ (4.23)	1.33 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fylde
11.7%

Draw
18.6%

Barnet
69.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.1%

22%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

21.2%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fylde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barnet's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Fylde - Barnet Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Fylde will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Barnet will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barnet: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fylde (votes: 1 - 50%). Barnet (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Fylde (2.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Fylde (votes: 3 - 75%). Barnet (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Winterbottom B. (G) 14. Bardell M. 4. Davis H. (C) 3. Evans O. 10. Haughton N. 15. Hugill W. 7. Jolley C. 18. McFayden L. 40. Riley J. 2. Sassi D. 16. Stokes Ch.	40. Bellagambi G. (G) 8. Browne R. 15. Glover R. 23. Grimwood J. 18. Hartigan A. (C) 11. Kanu I. 9. Ndlovu L. 22. Oluwo A. 19. Shelton M. 10. Stead C. 25. Tavares N.
Substitutes
33. Clark C. 23. Hosannah B. J. 6. Long A. 20. Massey G. 5. Obi E. 29. Ormerod D. 11. Ustabasi J.	17. Brunt Z. 12. Chapman H. 21. Clifford B. 3. Coker B. 32. Cropper J. 6. Okimo J. 14. Telford D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Oluwo A. ⚽, Hartigan A. (A),
39', Stokes Ch. 🟨,
39', 0 - 2, Shelton M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Haughton N. 🟨,
60', 0 - 3, Ndlovu L. ⚽,
62', Kanu I. ↓, Coker B. ↑,
63', Jolley C. 🟨,
65', Riley J. 🟨,
65', Shelton M. ↓, Clifford B. ↑,
70', Riley J. ↓, Ustabasi J. ↑,
70', Jolley C. ↓, Ormerod D. ↑,
70', Sassi D. ↓, Hosannah B. J. ↑,
71', Browne R. ↓, Brunt Z. ↑,
80', Ndlovu L. ↓, Telford D. ↑,
85', Stokes Ch. ↓, Long A. ↑,
85', Evans O. ↓, Massey G. ↑,
89', Hartigan A. ↓, Okimo J. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

Fylde is Relegated to

Barnet is Confirmed as championsnQualified for League Two

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fylde won 0.

Fylde has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Barnet has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Barnet is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Fylde won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Fylde won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Fylde
English National League
26.04.25	Tamworth - Fylde	4:3 ✺
21.04.25	Rochdale - Fylde	0:0 ✺
18.04.25	Fylde - Halifax Town	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Woking - Fylde	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Fylde - York City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLLL
- Barnet
English National League
26.04.25	Barnet - Aldershot Town	4:0 ✺
21.04.25	Sutton United - Barnet	1:3 ✺
18.04.25	Barnet - Eastleigh	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Barnet - Wealdstone	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Braintree Town - Barnet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
28.09.24	Barnet - Fylde	2:0
17.02.24	Fylde - Barnet	2:4
03.10.23	Barnet - Fylde	2:1
07.12.19	Barnet - Fylde	2:1
01.10.19	Fylde - Barnet	0:4
19.04.19	Fylde - Barnet	1:0
English FA Trophy
23.02.19	Fylde - Barnet	1:0 penalties

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