Match Info

National League - Round 45

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: The Hive Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Barnet		Aldershot Town

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.25	11
	1.23	5.5	9
	1.24	6.2	10
	1.26	5.4	13.43
	1.28	5.09	11.76	Watch
	1.22	6.25	11
	1.26	5.8	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.3)	5.78 ↑ (5.3)	10.77 ↑ (8.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnet
75.2%

Draw
16.2%

Aldershot Town
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.3%

17.5%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.1%

16.4%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Barnet - Aldershot Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Barnet will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Aldershot will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Aldershot (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Evans O. (G) 8. Browne R. 3. Coker B. 4. Collinge D. 15. Glover R. 18. Hartigan A. (C) 9. Ndlovu L. 22. Oluwo A. 19. Shelton M. 10. Stead C. 25. Tavares N.	28. Dewhurst M. (G) 36. Armitage W. 22. Barham J. 10. Barrett J. 35. Ellison D. 8. Frost T. 27. Henry J. 17. Jones A. (C) 34. Tetek D. 6. Widdrington T. 33. Woodhouse L.
Substitutes
40. Bellagambi G. (G) 17. Brunt Z. 12. Chapman H. 21. Clifford B. 32. Cropper J. 23. Grimwood J. 14. Telford D.	12. Anderson K. 14. Bray O. 9. Corbett K. 32. Maja E. 24. Mullins M. 39. Thomas K. 1. van Stappershoef J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Shelton M. (Pen),
19', Ellison D. 🟨,
20', 2 - 0, Shelton M. (Pen),
40', Widdrington T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 3 - 0, Stead C. ⚽,
55', 4 - 0, Stead C. ⚽,
58', Widdrington T. ↓, Maja E. ↑,
58', Barrett J. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
71', Barham J. ↓, Bray O. ↑,
71', Browne R. ↓, Brunt Z. ↑,
75', Ndlovu L. 🟨,
76', Jones A. 🟨,
78', Stead C. ↓, Chapman H. ↑,
79', Jones A. ↓, Corbett K. ↑,
80', Armitage W. ↓, Mullins M. ↑,
83', 🟨,
83', Coker B. ↓, Cropper J. ↑,
88', Shelton M. ↓, Clifford B. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnet won 3.

Recent matches Barnet is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aldershot is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Barnet is certain favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Barnet won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 29:20 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Barnet won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:8 (average 1.9:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnet
English National League
21.04.25	Sutton United - Barnet	1:3 ✺
18.04.25	Barnet - Eastleigh	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Barnet - Wealdstone	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Braintree Town - Barnet	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Barnet - Gateshead	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WTTLW
- Aldershot Town
English National League
21.04.25	Woking - Aldershot Town	3:0 ✺
18.04.25	Aldershot Town - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	York City - Aldershot Town	7:2 ✺
08.04.25	Aldershot Town - Boston United	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.04.25	Aldershot Town - Woking	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
24.09.24	Aldershot Town - Barnet	0:1
20.02.24	Aldershot Town - Barnet	1:0
19.09.23	Barnet - Aldershot Town	2:1
25.02.23	Barnet - Aldershot Town	4:1
03.09.22	Aldershot Town - Barnet	3:1
05.02.22	Aldershot Town - Barnet	1:3
30.10.21	Barnet - Aldershot Town	2:1

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