Match Info

National League - Round 44

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK, DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA


	Rochdale		Fylde

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	6.5
	1.34	4.75	6.5
	1.38	4.9	7
	1.33	5.31	8.27
	1.38	4.9	7.38	Watch
	1.36	4.75	7.5
	1.32	5.05	7.85
	1.38	4.9	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.4)	4.95 ↑ (4.75)	7.25 ↑ (6.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
68.5%

Draw
18.7%

Fylde
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

19.5%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

18.5%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Fylde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Rochdale - Fylde Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barrett K. (G) 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 11. Adu Poku M. 18. Barlow A. 33. Beckwith S. 24. Edwards C. 16. Ferguson K. 8. Gilmour H. 2. Gordon K. (C) 9. Mitchell K. 10. Rodney D.	31. Winterbottom B. (G) 14. Bardell M. 19. Boatswain A. 4. Davis H. 3. Evans O. 10. Haughton N. 15. Hugill W. 18. McFayden L. 40. Riley J. 16. Stokes Ch. 17. Whelan C. (C)
Substitutes
7. Allarakhia T. 3. Armstrong F. 15. Ayinde L. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. 40. Henderson I. 28. Kingdon J. 31. Weston C.	33. Clark C. 7. Jolley C. 6. Long A. 20. Massey G. 29. Ormerod D. 2. Sassi D. 11. Ustabasi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Davis H. 🟨,
18', Adebayo-Rowling T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Mitchell K. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
61', Riley J. ↓, Massey G. ↑,
64', Boatswain A. ↓, Jolley C. ↑,
64', Stokes Ch. ↓, Long A. ↑,
70', Adebayo-Rowling T. ↓, Allarakhia T. ↑,
78', Edwards C. ↓, Ayinde L. ↑,
83', Haughton N. ↓, Ormerod D. ↑,
87', Jolley C. 🟨,
90+1', Gilmour H. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 4.

Recent matches Rochdale is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fylde has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fylde could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rochdale is absolute favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:5 (average 1.9:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Rochdale won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English National League
18.04.25	Altrincham - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Rochdale - Eastleigh	4:0 ✺
08.04.25	Sutton United - Rochdale	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.04.25	Rochdale - Spennymoor Town	2:3 penalties ✺
English National League
01.04.25	Woking - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLT
- AFC Fylde
English National League
18.04.25	Fylde - Halifax Town	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Woking - Fylde	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Fylde - York City	1:3 ✺
01.04.25	Aldershot Town - Fylde	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Yeovil Town - Fylde	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
26.12.24	Fylde - Rochdale	1:3
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Fylde - Rochdale	1:4
English National League
01.01.24	Fylde - Rochdale	2:0
26.12.23	Rochdale - Fylde	2:0
Club Friendly
24.07.21	Fylde - Rochdale	0:1
15.07.17	Fylde - Rochdale	0:1
12.07.16	Fylde - Rochdale	1:2

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