Match Info

National League - Round 43

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday

Location: The Hive Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK, DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA


	Barnet		Eastleigh

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.75	9.5
	1.29	4.75	8.5
	1.24	5.8	11
	1.23	5.81	11.99
	1.26	5.36	11.49	Watch
	1.36	4.5	8
	1.25	6.04	9.98
	1.24	5.8	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.38)	5.48 ↑ (4.68)	10.18 ↑ (7.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnet
73.8%

Draw
17%

Eastleigh
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

19.9%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

19%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barnet's performance.

Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Barnet - Eastleigh Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Barnet will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Eastleigh will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Evans O. (G) 8. Browne R. 17. Brunt Z. 4. Collinge D. 15. Glover R. 18. Hartigan A. (C) 11. Kanu I. 22. Oluwo A. 19. Shelton M. 10. Stead C. 25. Tavares N.	1. McDonnell J. (G) 21. Boutin N. 22. Close B. 5. Fernandez L. 6. Francillette L. 14. Hodson L. 9. McCallum P. 19. Panter C. 10. Shade T. 8. Taylor J. (C) 33. Tshikuna N.
Substitutes
40. Bellagambi G. (G) 12. Chapman H. 21. Clifford B. 3. Coker B. 23. Grimwood J. 9. Ndlovu L. 14. Telford D.	4. Humphries L. 7. Maguire C. 13. Scott T. (G) 23. Semenyo J. 30. Underhill C. 3. Vokins J. 18. Waruih A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', Panter C. 🟨,
28', Boutin N. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, McCallum P. ⚽,
43', Taylor J. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Collinge D. ⚽,
45+2', Taylor J. ↓, Waruih A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', McCallum P. 🟨,
61', Brunt Z. ↓, Ndlovu L. ↑,
64', Tshikuna N. ↓, Humphries L. ↑,
65', Kanu I. ↓, Chapman H. ↑,
82', McCallum P. ↓, Maguire C. ↑,
83', Glover R. ↓, Telford D. ↑,
88', Hodson L. ↓, Semenyo J. ↑,
90+2', Boutin N. ↓, Vokins J. ↑,
90+4', Chapman H. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnet won 3.

Barnet is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Eastleigh is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Barnet is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Barnet won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 27:24 (average 1.8:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Barnet won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:10 (average 1.5:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnet
English National League
12.04.25	Barnet - Wealdstone	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Braintree Town - Barnet	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Barnet - Gateshead	3:1 ✺
22.03.25	Altrincham - Barnet	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Woking - Barnet	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLWWW
- Eastleigh FC
English National League
12.04.25	Rochdale - Eastleigh	4:0 ✺
05.04.25	Eastleigh - Halifax Town	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Tamworth - Eastleigh	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Eastleigh - Southend United	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Wealdstone - Eastleigh	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
01.01.25	Eastleigh - Barnet	1:1
19.03.24	Barnet - Eastleigh	2:1
15.08.23	Eastleigh - Barnet	3:3
31.01.23	Eastleigh - Barnet	0:2
29.08.22	Barnet - Eastleigh	3:1
23.04.22	Eastleigh - Barnet	2:3
11.09.21	Barnet - Eastleigh	1:1

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