The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gateshead 34.3%
Draw 26.6%
Solihull Moors 39.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.4%
25.9%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.2%
25.7%
33.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gateshead's form might have worsened.
Solihull Moors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Solihull Moors's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gateshead, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Solihull Moors than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Solihull Moors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gateshead - Solihull Moors Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Jameson P. (G) 38. Lewis-Burgess K. 24. Ferguson K. 5. Lankshear A. 6. Robinson J. 4. Home J. (C) 17. Coyle R. 20. Fenton J. 11. Anifowose J. 19. Supyk L. 14. Boatswain A.
1. Metcalfe M. (G) 15. Carson M. 23. Warren T. 6. Whitmore A. (C) 5. Mills J. 18. Woods R. 22. Wodskou B. 4. Andrews J. 7. Sbarra J. 8. High S. 9. Wakeling J.
Substitutes
8. Bowen S. 31. Cameron D. (G) 27. Eguaibor D. 3. Ferguson D. 16. Hiwula J. 18. Holgate H. 21. Spellman M.
12. Ford N. (G) 26. French T. 3. Green C. 2. Hanks J. 27. McFarlane C. 20. Shipston R. 11. Worman B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Coyle R. ↓, Bowen S. ↑,
46', Ferguson K. ↓, Holgate H. ↑,
46', Lewis-Burgess K. ↓, Hiwula J. ↑,
51', Whitmore A. ↓, French T. ↑,
60', Home J. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
62', Andrews J. 🟨,
64', Wodskou B. ↓, McFarlane C. ↑,
76', Fenton J. 🟨,
80', Supyk L. ↓, Eguaibor D. ↑,
85', 0 - 1, McFarlane C. (Penalty Awarded),
89', French T. ↓, Hanks J. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Spellman M. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gateshead won 4.
Recent form of Gateshead has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Solihull has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recently, Solihull has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Gateshead won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Gateshead won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
23
Solihull Moors
13
2
1
10
13:35
-22
7
24
Gateshead
13
1
1
11
8:31
-23
4
Last Results with these Odds
Gateshead - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.43%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
Solihull Moors - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 33.63%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.