Match Info

National League - Round 21

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Argentina	DAZN
Australia	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Colombia	DAZN
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
India	DAZN
Indonesia	DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	DAZN
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	DAZN
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN
South-korea	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Ukraine	DAZN
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN
Vietnam	DAZN


	Sutton United		Gateshead

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.2	4.33
	1.58	4.35	4.55
	1.56	4.55	5.03
	1.86	3.91	3.54	Watch
	1.64	4.3	4.43
	1.6	4.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.86)	4.3 ↑ (3.91)	4.4 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
57%

Draw
21.7%

Gateshead
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

23.8%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

22.7%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sutton United's performance.

Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Sutton United - Gateshead Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sims J. (G) 26. Eccleston J. 42. Muller H. 14. Pruti E. (C) 16. Taylor J. 28. Jennings K. 25. Taylor J. 8. Simper L. 23. Harris J. J. 18. Ogbonna D. 34. Njoku B.	1. Brooks T. (G) 17. Home J. 5. Richardson K. 34. Melbourne M. 3. Ferguson D. 4. Elliott-Wheeler A. 10. Butterfield J. 7. Adom K. 27. Pennant K. 21. Hurst K. 9. Telford D.
Substitutes
37. Bell C. 19. Crichlow K. 17. Jones A. 27. Reid T. (G) 15. Tizzard W. 12. Vaz E. . Vorster G.	35. Bone C. 32. Chapman H. 6. Flint W. 18. Grayson J. 13. Leech P. (G) 14. Nouble F. 31. Williams B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Pennant K. ⚽, Elliott-Wheeler A. (A),
32', 1 - 1, Harris J. J. ⚽, Ogbonna D. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', 2 - 1, Simper L. ⚽, Eccleston J. (A),
50', 3 - 1, Harris J. J. ⚽,
53', Taylor J. 🟨,
54', 3 - 2, Telford D. ⚽,
56', Muller H. 🟨,
64', Telford D. 🟨,
65', Melbourne M. ↓, Williams B. ↑,
65', Hurst K. ↓, Chapman H. ↑,
70', Richardson K. ↓, Flint W. ↑,
81', Crichlow K. ↓, Vaz E. ↑,
81', Harris J. J. ↓, Bell C. ↑,
81', Muller H. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
85', Telford D. ↓, Nouble F. ↑,
85', Chapman H. ↓, Bone C. ↑,
90+8', 4 - 2, Taylor J. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 and 20).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 2.

Sutton has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gateshead has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Gateshead may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sutton is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Sutton will win today's game, with odds of 1.82.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sutton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English National League Cup
25.11.25	Sutton United - Southampton U21	4:1 ✺
English National League
22.11.25	Truro City - Sutton United	2:3 ✺
15.11.25	Sutton United - Halifax Town	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Morecambe - Sutton United	2:2 ✺
05.11.25	Sutton United - Eastleigh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWTW
- Gateshead
English National League Cup
26.11.25	Gateshead - Leeds United U21	0:3 ✺
English National League
22.11.25	Gateshead - Boreham Wood	0:3 ✺
15.11.25	Forest Green Rovers - Gateshead	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Gateshead - Solihull Moors	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	York City - Gateshead	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
18.02.25	Gateshead - Sutton United	4:3
23.10.24	Sutton United - Gateshead	0:1
16.03.19	Sutton United - Gateshead	4:2
17.11.18	Gateshead - Sutton United	0:0
06.01.18	Gateshead - Sutton United	0:2
09.09.17	Sutton United - Gateshead	1:1
14.04.17	Sutton United - Gateshead	3:0

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