Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 13

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Mill Farm (Wesham)


	Fylde		Aldershot Town

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.6	2.38
	2.45	3.4	2.4
	2.65	3.6	2.4
	2.71	3.64	2.46
	2.65	3.59	2.44	Watch
	2.38	3.7	2.45
	2.56	3.6	2.38
	2.55	3.6	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.54)	3.59 ↑ (3.57)	2.41 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fylde
36%

Draw
25.7%

Aldershot Town
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

25.9%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

25.9%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fylde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Fylde - Aldershot Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Richardson T. (G) 3. Evans O. 2. Gamble P. 10. Haughton N. 23. Hosannah B. J. 7. Jolley C. 6. Long A. 20. Massey G. 8. Mitchell E. 40. Riley J. 17. Whelan C. (C)	1. van Stappershoef J. (G) 21. Akpan A. 10. Barrett J. 2. Byrd L. 35. Ellison D. 23. Ghandour H. 7. Hargreaves C. 27. Henry J. 11. Jones R. 5. Maghoma C. 6. Widdrington T. (C)
Substitutes
4. Davis H. . McFayden L. 5. Obi E. 34. O'Kane T. 29. Ormerod D. 21. Roberts T. 31. Winterbottom B. (G)	22. Barham J. 9. Corbett K. 28. Dewhurst M. (G) 8. Frost T. 25. Menayese R. 24. Mullins M. 18. Scott O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
26', 1 - 0, Haughton N. ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Jolley C. ⚽,
36', Ellison D. 🟨,
38', 3 - 0, Massey G. ⚽,
40', 3 - 1, Barrett J. ⚽,
45', 3 - 2, Henry J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 4 - 2, Massey G. ⚽,
58', Jones R. ↓, Scott O. ↑,
58', Ellison D. ↓, Menayese R. ↑,
62', Jolley C. 🟨,
65', Ghandour H. ↓, Barham J. ↑,
66', 5 - 2, Jolley C. ⚽,
71', Whelan C. ↓, O'Kane T. ↑,
72', Henry J. ↓, Frost T. ↑,
80', Mitchell E. 🟨,
80', Widdrington T. 🟨,
82', Barrett J. ↓, Corbett K. ↑,
84', Corbett K. 🟨,
87', Jolley C. ↓, Ormerod D. ↑,
90+2', Evans O. ↓, McFayden L. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fylde won 3.

Fylde is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Aldershot is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Fylde won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:6 (average 2.4:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Fylde won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:3 (average 2.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Fylde
English National League
28.09.24	Barnet - Fylde	2:0 ✺
24.09.24	Fylde - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Fylde - Woking	1:1 ✺
17.09.24	Fylde - Southend United	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	York City - Fylde	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTWL
- Aldershot Town
English National League
28.09.24	Yeovil Town - Aldershot Town	1:1 ✺
24.09.24	Aldershot Town - Barnet	0:1 ✺
21.09.24	Aldershot Town - York City	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Boston United - Aldershot Town	1:1 ✺
10.09.24	Ebbsfleet United - Aldershot Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
13.02.24	Aldershot Town - Fylde	0:5
09.09.23	Fylde - Aldershot Town	0:2
14.03.20	Fylde - Aldershot Town	1:0
03.08.19	Aldershot Town - Fylde	1:2
30.03.19	Aldershot Town - Fylde	0:0
15.09.18	Fylde - Aldershot Town	3:0
10.03.18	Fylde - Aldershot Town	7:1

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