Match Info

National League - Round 39

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Argentina	DAZN
Australia	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Colombia	DAZN
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
India	DAZN
Indonesia	DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	DAZN
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	DAZN
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN
South-korea	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Ukraine	DAZN
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN
Vietnam	DAZN


	Rochdale		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	1.29	5	9
	1.34	4.6	6.75
	1.34	4.95	7.5
	1.32	5.41	8.71
	1.35	4.8	8.25	Watch
	1.33	4.8	8
	1.31	4.85	7.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.33)	4.92 ↑ (4.59)	7.98 ↓ (8.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rochdale
69.6%

Draw
18.8%

Tamworth
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

20.1%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.2%

19%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Rochdale - Tamworth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Whatmuff O. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 25. Perry C. 7. Allarakhia T. 4. East R. 16. Pettit C. 38. Smith T. 22. Moss D. 9. Dieseruvwe E. 10. Rodney D.	1. Singh J. (G) 12. Rye J. 18. Cullinane-Liburd J. 5. Digie K. 11. Fairlamb L. 14. Mols S. 42. Kurtaran T. 8. Milnes B. (C) 24. Acquaye B. 39. Creaney D. 27. Lynch O.
Substitutes
18. Barlow A. 36. Francis E. 19. Hannant L. 40. Henderson I. 23. Hosannah B. J. 21. McBride C. 3. Tutonda D.	3. Cockerill-Mollett C. 2. Curley M. 19. McGlinchey T. 13. Rachel D. (G) 44. Reindorf M. 16. Riley J. 4. Tonks T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
13', 1 - 0, East R. ⚽, Dieseruvwe E. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Creaney D. ⚽, Mols S. (A),
33', 1 - 2, Lynch O. ⚽, Mols S. (A),
37', 2 - 2, Moss D. ⚽, Allarakhia T. (A),
45+5', Dieseruvwe E. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Smith T. ↓, Barlow A. ↑,
70', Acquaye B. ↓, McGlinchey T. ↑,
70', Milnes B. ↓, Riley J. ↑,
73', Rodney D. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
73', Allarakhia T. ↓, Hannant L. ↑,
80', 3 - 2, Henderson I. ⚽, Barlow A. (A),
82', Mols S. ↓, Reindorf M. ↑,
88', Kurtaran T. ↓, Tonks T. ↑,
90+1', East R. ↓, Francis E. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 12).

Rochdale is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tamworth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tamworth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rochdale is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Rochdale will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Rochdale won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Tamworth	13	4	2	7	21:30	-9	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English National League
17.03.26	Southend United - Rochdale	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Eastleigh - Rochdale	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Rochdale - Boston United	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Rochdale - Brackley Town	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Aldershot Town - Rochdale	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWW
- Tamworth
English National League
14.03.26	Tamworth - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Wealdstone - Tamworth	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Woking - Tamworth	3:1 ✺
03.03.26	Yeovil Town - Tamworth	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Tamworth - Boreham Wood	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
13.01.26	Tamworth - Rochdale	1:2 penalties
English National League
22.11.25	Tamworth - Rochdale	1:2
25.02.25	Tamworth - Rochdale	1:1
17.12.24	Rochdale - Tamworth	3:0

Upcoming Matches