Match Info

National League - Round 39

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	12:00	DAZN
Australia	02:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Belarus	18:00	DAZN
Bolivia	11:00	DAZN
Brazil	12:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	11:00	DAZN Canada
Colombia	10:00	DAZN
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	10:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hong Kong	23:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
India	20:30	DAZN
Indonesia	22:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	00:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	21:00	DAZN
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
Malaysia	23:00	DAZN
Mexico	09:00	DAZN
New Zealand	04:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	16:00	DAZN
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	12:00	DAZN
Philippines	23:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Russia	18:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
South Africa	17:00	DAZN
South Korea	00:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	23:00	DAZN
Thailand	22:00	DAZN
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	19:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	15:00	DAZN
Uruguay	12:00	DAZN
Usa	11:00	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	20:00	DAZN
Venezuela	11:00	DAZN
Vietnam	22:00	DAZN


	Rochdale		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	1.29	5	9
	1.34	4.6	6.75
	1.34	4.95	7.5
	1.32	5.41	8.71
	1.35	4.8	8.25	Watch
	1.33	4.8	8
	1.31	4.85	7.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.33)	4.92 ↑ (4.59)	7.98 ↓ (8.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
69.6%

Draw
18.8%

Tamworth
11.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.2%

20.1%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.2%

17.4%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Rochdale - Tamworth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Whatmuff O. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 25. Perry C. 7. Allarakhia T. 4. East R. 16. Pettit C. 38. Smith T. 22. Moss D. 9. Dieseruvwe E. 10. Rodney D.	1. Singh J. (G) 12. Rye J. 18. Cullinane-Liburd J. 5. Digie K. 11. Fairlamb L. 14. Mols S. 42. Kurtaran T. 8. Milnes B. (C) 24. Acquaye B. 39. Creaney D. 27. Lynch O.
Substitutes
18. Barlow A. 36. Francis E. 19. Hannant L. 40. Henderson I. 23. Hosannah B. J. 21. McBride C. 3. Tutonda D.	3. Cockerill-Mollett C. 2. Curley M. 19. McGlinchey T. 13. Rachel D. (G) 44. Reindorf M. 16. Riley J. 4. Tonks T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
13', 1 - 0, East R. ⚽, Dieseruvwe E. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Creaney D. ⚽, Mols S. (A),
33', 1 - 2, Lynch O. ⚽, Mols S. (A),
37', 2 - 2, Moss D. ⚽, Allarakhia T. (A),
45+5', Dieseruvwe E. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Smith T. ↓, Barlow A. ↑,
70', Acquaye B. ↓, McGlinchey T. ↑,
70', Milnes B. ↓, Riley J. ↑,
73', Rodney D. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
73', Allarakhia T. ↓, Hannant L. ↑,
80', 3 - 2, Henderson I. ⚽, Barlow A. (A),
82', Mols S. ↓, Reindorf M. ↑,
88', Kurtaran T. ↓, Tonks T. ↑,
90+1', East R. ↓, Francis E. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 12).

Rochdale is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tamworth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tamworth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rochdale is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Rochdale will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Rochdale won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Tamworth	14	5	2	7	25:31	-6	17

Outrights of English National League for now

Tamworth: 0.72%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English National League
17.03.26	Southend United - Rochdale	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Eastleigh - Rochdale	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Rochdale - Boston United	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Rochdale - Brackley Town	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Aldershot Town - Rochdale	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWW
- Tamworth
English National League
14.03.26	Tamworth - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Wealdstone - Tamworth	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Woking - Tamworth	3:1 ✺
03.03.26	Yeovil Town - Tamworth	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Tamworth - Boreham Wood	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
13.01.26	Tamworth - Rochdale	1:2 penalties
English National League
22.11.25	Tamworth - Rochdale	1:2
25.02.25	Tamworth - Rochdale	1:1
17.12.24	Rochdale - Tamworth	3:0

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