Match Info

National League Cup

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	MUTV App, MUTV, National League TV


	Rochdale		Manchester United U21

	1	X	2
	2.08	4.15	2.72
	1.75	4.40	3.41	Watch
	2.21	3.78	2.75
	2.05	3.95	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.75)	4.07 ↓ (4.4)	2.97 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
45.9%

Draw
22.8%

Manchester United U21
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

20.8%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

20.7%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rochdale's form might have worsened.

Manchester United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rochdale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United U21 than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Rochdale - Manchester United U21 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rochdale (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Man Utd U21 (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rochdale (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Man Utd U21 (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Myles T. (G) 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 18. Barlow A. 30. Berkoe K. 4. East R. 5. Hogan L. (C) 27. Humbles L. 21. McBride C. 22. Moss D. 16. Pettit C. 38. Smith T.	13. Murdock W. (G) 3. Devaney J. (C) 8. Fitzgerald J. 14. Kukonki G. 5. Leon D. . Mantato B. . McAllister F. 15. Obi C. 12. Overy J. 11. Scanlon J. 77. Thwaites J.
Substitutes
12. Amantchi L. 19. Burger J. . Done M. 25. Griffiths J. 40. Henderson I. 13. Lillis J. (G) 3. Tutonda D.	4. Armer D. 9. Biancheri G. 10. Fletcher J. 6. Fletcher T. 78. Heath F. (G) 71. Mills A. F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', East R. ↓, Burger J. ↑,
1', Adebayo-Rowling T. ↓, Griffiths J. ↑,
11', 0 - 1, Thwaites J. ⚽,
22', Barlow A. ↓, Amantchi L. ↑,
30', Pettit C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Berkoe K. ↓, Tutonda D. ↑,
60', Devaney J. ↓, Mills A. F. ↑,
60', Leon D. ↓, Musa V. ↑,
64', Smith T. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
72', McAllister F. ↓, Fletcher T. ↑,
72', Thwaites J. ↓, Fletcher J. ↑,
82', Obi C. ↓, Biancheri G. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 2, Scanlon J. ⚽, Musa V. (A),

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Man Utd U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rochdale might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rochdale won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English National League
25.10.25	Woking - Rochdale	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Rochdale - Yeovil Town	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Rochdale - York City	1:2 ✺
English National League
04.10.25	Forest Green Rovers - Rochdale	0:1 ✺
01.10.25	Rochdale - Halifax Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWLWL
- Manchester United U21
English Premier League 2
25.10.25	Manchester United U21 - Tottenham Hotspur U21	4:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
21.10.25	Barnsley - Manchester United U21	5:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
03.10.25	Everton U21 - Manchester United U21	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.09.25	Lincoln City - Manchester United U21	3:0 ✺
English Premier League 2
27.09.25	Manchester United U21 - Crystal Palace U21	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League Cup
03.12.24	Rochdale - Manchester United U21	0:1
English EFL Trophy
29.09.20	Rochdale - Manchester United U21	0:1 penalties

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