Match Info

Division 1 - Round 18

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Fylkisvöllur (Reykjavík)


	Fylkir		Keflavík

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.7	2.6
	2.19	3.7	2.55	Watch
	2.27	4.08	2.63
	2.14	3.84	2.88	Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.7
	2.23	3.74	2.54	Watch
	2.35	3.8	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.35)	3.77 (3.77)	2.61 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fylkir
40.9%

Draw
24.2%

Keflavík
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

23.9%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

23.9%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fylkir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Keflavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fylkir than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Fylkir - Keflavík Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fylkir will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Keflavík will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Helgason O. (G) 11. Aguilera P. 88. Asmundsson E. 3. Asthorsson A. 2. Eythorsson A. 18. Gunnarsson N. 7. Gunnarsson T. 13. Ingimundarson T. 5. Segatta O. 8. Sveinsson R. (C) 66. Thordarson H.	21. Olafsson S. (G) 11. Al Ghoul M. 18. Bjarnason E. 20. Brigic M. 27. Gautason V. 24. Gudmundsson G. 4. Heras N. 22. Magnusson A. 6. Magnusson S. (C) 14. Mudrazija M. 7. Sigfusson K.
Substitutes
10. Gardarsson B. 12. Helgason H. (G) 23. Hilmarsson M. 20. Oskarsson T. 70. Tyrfingsson G. 6. Vikingsson T. 9. Wohler E.	25. Elvarsson F. 5. Fridriksson S. 12. Gissurarson R. (G) 8. Gudmundsson A. 3. Johannesson A. 10. Ljubicic S. 23. Ragnarsson E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Asthorsson A. ⚽,
40', Sveinsson R. ↓, Tyrfingsson G. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
63', Bjarnason E. ↓, Ljubicic S. ↑,
63', Gautason V. ↓, Ragnarsson E. ↑,
65', Asmundsson E. 🟨,
65', Thordarson H. ↓, Gardarsson B. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Gardarsson B. ⚽, Gunnarsson N. (A),
70', 3 - 0, Gardarsson B. ⚽, Gunnarsson N. (A),
73', 4 - 0, Tyrfingsson G. ⚽, Aguilera P. (A),
73', Mudrazija M. 🟨,
73', Ragnarsson E. 🟨,
77', Magnusson S. ↓, Johannesson A. ↑,
77', Brigic M. ↓, Fridriksson S. ↑,
77', Heras N. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
79', Aguilera P. ↓, Wohler E. ↑,
79', Gunnarsson N. ↓, Hilmarsson M. ↑,
83', 🟨,
89', Gardarsson B. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fylkir won 1.

Fylkir is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Keflavík is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fylkir won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fylkir won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fylkir Reykjavik
Icelandic Division 1
13.08.25	Leiknir Reykjavík - Fylkir	1:0 ✺
08.08.25	Fylkir - Thor Akureyri	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Throttur Reykjavik - Fylkir	2:1 ✺
25.07.25	Fylkir - Fjölnir	3:3 ✺
18.07.25	Fylkir - Njarðvík	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Keflavík
Icelandic Division 1
13.08.25	Keflavík - Grindavik	4:0 ✺
08.08.25	HK Kópavogur - Keflavík	3:0 ✺
29.07.25	Leiknir Reykjavík - Keflavík	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Keflavík - Thor Akureyri	2:2 ✺
18.07.25	Keflavík - Fjölnir	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
09.06.25	Keflavík - Fylkir	1:1
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
01.10.23	Keflavík - Fylkir	1:3
23.06.23	Keflavík - Fylkir	1:1
10.04.23	Fylkir - Keflavík	1:2
Icelandic League Cup
25.02.23	Keflavík - Fylkir	2:2
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
08.08.21	Keflavík - Fylkir	1:1
21.05.21	Fylkir - Keflavík	4:2

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