Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 15

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Gévora		Montijo

	1	X	2
	2.78	3	2.4
	2.86	3.29	2.34	Watch
	2.75	2.88	2.5
	2.73	3.08	2.38
	2.75	2.9	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (2.8)	3.03 ↓ (3.15)	2.43 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gévora
32.7%

Draw
30%

Montijo
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

28.8%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

29.2%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gévora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gévora than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (+1%)

Gévora - Montijo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Maya Vivas A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', 1 - 1, ⚽,
82', 1 - 2, ⚽,
85', 🟥,
90+6', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 6).

Gévora is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Montijo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Gévora
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
14.12.25	Moralo - Gévora	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Gévora - Diocesano	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Villafranca - Gévora	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Gévora - Don Benito	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Santa Amalia - Gévora	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLLT
- UD Montijo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
14.12.25	Montijo - Calamonte	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Montijo	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Montijo - Jaraíz	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Montijo - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Cabeza del Buey - Montijo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTWWL

Gévora - Montijo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide