Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 22

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion GKS Górnik Łęczna (Leczna)

Referee: Jakubik K. (Pol)


	Górnik Łęczna		Motor Lublin

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.1
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.3	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.34	3.03	3.05
	2.38	3.24	3.17
	2.2	3.2	2.9
	2.31	3.15	3.05	Watch
	2.34	2.98	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.15)	3.11 ↓ (3.13)	3.05 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Łęczna
40.2%

Draw
29.6%

Motor Lublin
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28.7%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

29.5%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	57.1%	0%

Górnik Łęczna - Motor Lublin Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Gostomski M. (C) 21. Bednarczyk J. 30. Cisse S. 4. Klemenz L. 3. Grabowski M. 16. Zyra P. 10. Deja A. 11. Mlynski M. 17. Lukasiak K. 77. Gaska D. 95. Roginic M.	1. Rosa K. (G) 28. Stolarski P. 18. Najemski A. 74. Kruk K. 47. Palacz K. 68. Wolski B. 37. Scalet M. 77. Ceglarz P. (C) 26. Krol M. 99. Spiewak K. 30. Ndiaye M. J.
Substitutes
7. Durmus I. 29. Dziwniel D. 22. Fazlagic E. . Janaszek F. 9. Podlinski K. 19. Starzynski P. 52. Warchol D. 12. Wozniak T. (G) 25. Zbozien D.	53. Budzilek L. (G) 55. Gasior M. 11. Kaminski D. 73. Lis J. 24. Luberecki F. 90. Mraz S. 21. Rudol S. 7. Rybicki M. 17. Wojcik F.
Coaches
Stano P.	Feio G.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Górnik Łęczna won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Motor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Górnik Łęczna will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Górnik Łęczna won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Górnik Łęczna won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1
26.02.24	Chrobry Głogów - Górnik Łęczna	0:1 ✺
20.02.24	Górnik Łęczna - GKS Tychy	2:0 ✺
16.02.24	Górnik Łęczna - Miedź Legnica	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.02.24	Wisła Kraków - Górnik Łęczna	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Stal Rzeszów - Górnik Łęczna	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTLL
- Motor Lublin
Polish Division 1
28.02.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Motor Lublin	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Motor Lublin - Termalica Nieciecza	1:0 ✺
19.02.24	GKS Katowice - Motor Lublin	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.02.24	Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Motor Lublin - Wisła Puławy	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
19.08.23	Motor Lublin - Górnik Łęczna	0:1
Club Friendly
03.02.23	Motor Lublin - Górnik Łęczna	0:3
09.07.22	Górnik Łęczna - Motor Lublin	1:1
30.01.22	Górnik Łęczna - Motor Lublin	Canceled
22.01.20	Górnik Łęczna - Motor Lublin	2:2
12.07.17	Motor Lublin - Górnik Łęczna	4:2

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