Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla (Zabrze)

Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hungary	M4 Sport
Israel	5 SPORT Israel, 5 STARS Israel
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Górnik Zabrze		Ferencvárosi

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.3	3.4	3	Watch
	2.22	3.3	3.05
	2.28	3.58	3.02
	2.32	3.52	2.96	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3
	2.42	3.38	2.92	Watch
	2.27	3.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.46)	3.37 ↑ (3.21)	2.96 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Zabrze
40.8%

Draw
27.7%

Ferencvárosi
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

29.3%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

30.3%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.3%	25.7%	20%

Górnik Zabrze - Ferencvárosi Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 19 - 54.3%). Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 7 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 25.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Zabrze: 37.8% – 70.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Ferencvárosi (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Górnik Zabrze will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Górnik Zabrze (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Ferencvárosi (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schulze P. (G) 61. Sacek M. 26. Janicki R. 20. Josema 64. Janza E. (C) 82. Urbanski K. 66. Dietz M. 8. Bernardo P. 19. Peter Federico 11. Prekop E. 33. Khlan M.	90. Dibusz D. (C) 14. Osvath A. 28. Raemaekers T. 4. Gomez M. 20. Cadu 36. Kanichowsky G. 17. Corbu M. 16. Zachariassen K. 88. Rommens P. 11. Dele 75. Joseph L.
Substitutes
4. Bochniewicz P. 28. Donio B. 7. Ikia Dimi Y. 88. Ismaheel T. 29. Kania W. (G) 23. Liseth S. 99. Loska T. (G) 36. Rakoczy M. 18. Sadilek L. 2. Warczak P. 21. Zmrzly O.	32. Cirkovic A. 8. Keita N. 24. Kodro K. 71. Lakatos C. 10. Levi J. 76. Lisztes K. 6. Nagy A. 54. Nagy O. 47. O'Dowda C. 1. Varga A. (G) 68. Varga Zeteny I. 5. Zohore N.
Coaches
Gasparik M.	Borbely B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Osvath A. 🟨,
44', Rommens P. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Urbanski K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Rommens P. ↓, Nagy A. ↑,
59', Kanichowsky G. ↓, Keita N. ↑,
72', Dele ↓, O'Dowda C. ↑,
79', Bernardo P. ↓, Sadilek L. ↑,
79', Peter Federico ↓, Ismaheel T. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Sacek M. (Own goal),
89', Janza E. ↓, Zmrzly O. ↑,
89', Khlan M. ↓, Ikia Dimi Y. ↑,
90+3', Cadu ↓, Zohore N. ↑,
90+3', Joseph L. ↓, Kodro K. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 0-1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ferencvárosi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Górnik Zabrze won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Ferencvaros: 0.78%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ferencvaros	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3

Last Results with these Odds

Górnik Zabrze - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 38.21%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa
08.08.26	Radomiak Radom - Górnik Zabrze	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.08.26	Ferencvárosi - Górnik Zabrze	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.07.26	Górnik Zabrze - Fenerbahçe	1:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.07.26	Górnik Zabrze - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	Fenerbahçe - Górnik Zabrze	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLTWL
- Ferencvárosi TC
UEFA Europa League
05.08.26	Ferencvárosi - Górnik Zabrze	1:0 ✺
Hungarian NB I
02.08.26	Ferencvárosi - Vasas	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.07.26	Ferencvárosi - Twente	2:2 ✺
Hungarian NB I
26.07.26	Paksi SE - Ferencvárosi	4:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.07.26	Twente - Ferencvárosi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
05.08.26	Ferencvárosi - Górnik Zabrze	1:0

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