Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla (Zabrze)

Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 4
Czech-republic	Strike, Strike
Germany	Laola1
Poland	CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Górnik Zabrze		GKS Katowice

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.50	4.10	Watch
	1.85	3.70	3.90
	1.84	3.75	3.95
	1.94	3.92	4.10
	1.91	3.81	3.81	Watch
	1.78	3.90	4.15
	1.81	3.80	3.88	Watch
	1.87	3.60	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.82)	3.75 ↓ (3.78)	3.96 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Zabrze
51%

Draw
25.2%

GKS Katowice
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

24.7%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

25.1%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Zabrze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

GKS Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Górnik Zabrze - GKS Katowice Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Górnik Zabrze (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Górnik Zabrze will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schulze P. (G) 61. Sacek M. 26. Janicki R. 20. Josema 64. Janza E. (C) 18. Sadilek L. 82. Urbanski K. 8. Bernardo P. 19. Peter Federico 11. Prekop E. 33. Khlan M.	87. Kobylak G. (G) 6. Klemenz L. 4. Jedrych A. (C) 55. Resta P. 97. Jirka E. 68. Wolski B. 77. Kowalczyk M. 8. Galan B. 15. Markovic E. 17. Shkurin I. 27. Nowak B.
Substitutes
9. Antiste J. 66. Dietz M. 28. Donio B. 34. Durdov B. 7. Ikia Dimi Y. 14. Kubicki J. 23. Liseth S. 99. Loska T. (G) 3. Synos M. 2. Warczak P. 21. Zmrzly O.	31. Bartlewicz S. 30. Czerwinski A. 1. Kikolski M. (G) 21. Kokosinski J. 19. Lukasiak K. 22. Milewski S. 14. Olsen M. 23. Wasielewski M. 7. Wdowiak M. 10. Wedrychowski M.
Coaches
Gasparik M.	Gorak R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Shkurin I. ⚽,
40', Galan B. ↓, Wdowiak M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
59', Bernardo P. ↓, Antiste J. ↑,
60', Sadilek L. ↓, Kubicki J. ↑,
73', Jedrych A. 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Urbanski K. (Penalty Awarded),
76', 2 - 1, Josema ⚽, Janicki R. (A),
84', Prekop E. ↓, Dietz M. ↑,
89', Jirka E. ↓, Bartlewicz S. ↑,
89', Markovic E. ↓, Wasielewski M. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 2, Shkurin I. ⚽, Nowak B. (A),
90+5', Peter Federico ↓, Ikia Dimi Y. ↑,
90+7', Klemenz L. ↓, Czerwinski A. ↑,
90+7', Wolski B. ↓, Lukasiak K. ↑,
90+10', 2 - 3, Shkurin I. ⚽, Czerwinski A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

GKS Katowice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Górnik Zabrze will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:12. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Zabrze won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 2.1:0.7).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Gornik Zabrze: 20.78% GKS Katowice: 1.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	9	7	1	1	16:8	8	22
9	GKS Katowice	8	4	0	4	16:13	3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Zabrze
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Monaco - Górnik Zabrze	4:1 ✺
20.08.26	Górnik Zabrze - Monaco	2:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
16.08.26	Górnik Zabrze - Wisła Kraków	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.08.26	Górnik Zabrze - Ferencvárosi	1:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
08.08.26	Radomiak Radom - Górnik Zabrze	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWTW
- GKS Katowice
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.08.26	GKS Katowice - Wisła Płock	5:0 ✺
16.08.26	Motor Lublin - GKS Katowice	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.08.26	GKS Katowice - Hapoel Tel Aviv	2:1 ✺
06.08.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - GKS Katowice	2:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
02.08.26	GKS Katowice - Radomiak Radom	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
28.02.26	GKS Katowice - Górnik Zabrze	3:1
23.08.25	Górnik Zabrze - GKS Katowice	3:0
30.03.25	GKS Katowice - Górnik Zabrze	2:1
21.09.24	Górnik Zabrze - GKS Katowice	3:0
Polish Cup
27.09.23	GKS Katowice - Górnik Zabrze	0:4
20.10.22	GKS Katowice - Górnik Zabrze	1:2
Club Friendly
22.06.19	Górnik Zabrze - GKS Katowice	2:0

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