Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 1

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla (Zabrze)

Referee: Kochanek M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Poland	CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Górnik Zabrze		Lechia Gdańsk

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3.2
	2.15	3.45	3.05	Watch
	2.23	3.58	3.26
	2.43	2.92	3.23	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.1
	2.19	3.6	3.06	Watch
	1.73	3.8	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.72)	3.46 ↓ (3.7)	3.34 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Zabrze
44.4%

Draw
27.3%

Lechia Gdańsk
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

24.9%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Zabrze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Górnik Zabrze's form might have worsened.

Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lechia Gdańsk's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Górnik Zabrze - Lechia Gdańsk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Lechia (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Górnik Zabrze will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Górnik Zabrze will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Górnik Zabrze (votes: 3 - 75%). Lechia (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lubik M. (G) 16. Olkowski P. 26. Janicki R. 20. Josema 64. Janza E. (C) 79. Goh Young-Jun 8. Hellebrand P. 14. Kubicki J. 11. Ismaheel T. 74. Tsirigotis T. 17. Lukoszek K.	29. Sarnavskyi B. (G) 16. Jaunzems A. 4. Pllana B. 3. Olsson E. 27. Vojtko M. 11. Mena C. 10. Kapic R. (C) 5. Zhelizko I. 33. Wojtowicz T. 89. Bobcek T. 7. Viunnyk B.
Substitutes
22. Abdullahi A. 18. Ambros L. 28. Donio B. 19. Dziegielewski N. 23. Liseth S. 99. Loska T. (G) 15. Massimo R. 55. Pingot M. 10. Podolski L. 27. Szala D. 5. Szczesniak K.	72. Awad M. 26. Brzek B. 25. Dyachuk M. 21. Glogowski M. 23. Kalahur M. 90. Kurminowski D. 99. Neugebauer T. 79. Sezonienko K. 17. Tsarenko A. 1. Weirauch S. (G) 6. Wendt K.
Coaches
Gasparik M.	Carver J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Lukoszek K. ⚽, Tsirigotis T. (A),
45+2', Janicki R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Goh Young-Jun ↓, Ambros L. ↑,
46', Viunnyk B. ↓, Tsarenko A. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Kubicki J. ⚽,
71', Bobcek T. ↓, Kurminowski D. ↑,
71', Olsson E. ↓, Dyachuk M. ↑,
71', Wojtowicz T. ↓, Neugebauer T. ↑,
78', Tsirigotis T. ↓, Liseth S. ↑,
79', Lukoszek K. ↓, Podolski L. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Kapic R. (Pen),
89', Pllana B. ↓, Sezonienko K. ↑,
89', Vojtko M. 🟨,
90+2', Ismaheel T. ↓, Dziegielewski N. ↑,
90+4', Hellebrand P. ↓, Szczesniak K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 1.

Górnik Zabrze is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lechia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Górnik Zabrze may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Lechia has had a series of home games.

Górnik Zabrze is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Sacek M. (Leg Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 2 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:32. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Zabrze won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.3:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Zabrze
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Karviná - Górnik Zabrze	0:1 ✺
08.07.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Górnik Zabrze	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Górnik Zabrze - Aris Limassol	4:0 ✺
27.06.25	Górnik Zabrze - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	4:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.05.25	Górnik Zabrze - Korona Kielce	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWWT
- Lechia Gdańsk
Club Friendly
13.07.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Chojniczanka Chojnice	3:0 ✺
05.07.25	Motor Lublin - Lechia Gdańsk	5:3 ✺
02.07.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Olimpia Grudziądz	4:1 ✺
28.06.25	Lechia Gdańsk - GKS Tychy	2:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.05.25	Lechia Gdańsk - GKS Katowice	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
09.03.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Górnik Zabrze	1:2
01.09.24	Górnik Zabrze - Lechia Gdańsk	2:3
04.02.23	Górnik Zabrze - Lechia Gdańsk	1:1
18.11.22	Lechia Gdańsk - Górnik Zabrze	2:1
18.04.22	Górnik Zabrze - Lechia Gdańsk	1:3
23.10.21	Lechia Gdańsk - Górnik Zabrze	1:1
20.02.21	Lechia Gdańsk - Górnik Zabrze	2:0

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