Match Info

Super Lig - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu (Izmir)

Referee: Yilmaz A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2


	Göztepe		Kocaelispor

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.25	3.9	Watch
	2.03	3.12	4
	1.71	3.71	5.29
	1.68	3.68	5.25	Watch
	2.03	3.3	4.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.68)	3.41 ↓ (3.68)	4.54 ↓ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Göztepe
50.7%

Draw
28.1%

Kocaelispor
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

25.7%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

26.3%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Göztepe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Göztepe's form might have worsened.

Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Göztepe than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Göztepe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Göztepe - Kocaelispor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Göztepe will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Göztepe will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lis M. (C) 4. Altikardes T. 5. Heliton 26. Bokele M. 13. Ruan Teixeira 30. Dennis A. 20. Miroshi N. 15. Cherni A. 11. Bekiroglu E. 39. Janderson 9. Juan Santos	1. Jovanovic A. (G) 22. Oguz A. (C) 5. Balogh B. 6. Smolcic H. 21. Haidara M. 8. Keita H. 10. Linetty K. 7. Agyei D. 70. Keles C. 75. Bingol T. 19. Dursun S.
Substitutes
3. Allan Godoi 77. Bayrak O. 24. Bouajila S. 33. Durakcay T. 8. Ildiz A. 17. Kilicarslan E. (G) 12. Koybasi I. 10. Olaitan J. 6. Rhaldney	17. Churlinov D. 3. Cinan M. 35. Degirmenci G. (G) 2. Dijksteel A. 18. Gedik F. 98. Nonge J. 15. Serbest T. 14. Show 34. Syrota O. 23. Yalcin S.
Coaches
Stoilov S.	Inan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Linetty K. 🟨,
44', Balogh B. 🟨,
45+5', Miroshi N. 🟨,
45+6', Keita H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Keita H. ↓, Show ↑,
65', Ruan Teixeira 🟨,
65', Keles C. ↓, Churlinov D. ↑,
68', Miroshi N. ↓, Rhaldney ↑,
68', Bekiroglu E. ↓, Olaitan J. ↑,
76', Linetty K. ↓, Serbest T. ↑,
83', Show 🟨,
87', Agyei D. ↓, Nonge J. ↑,
89', Altikardes T. ↓, Allan Godoi ↑,
89', Ruan Teixeira ↓, Bayrak O. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 11).

Recent performances by Göztepe have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kocaelispor is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Göztepe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Göztepe is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Göztepe: Kurtulan A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Kocaelispor: Petkovic B. (Injury) Wieteska M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Göztepe: Allan Godoi (Inactive) Bayir F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Kocaelispor: Haidara M. (Injury) Rivas R. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Göztepe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Göztepe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Göztepe - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 56.29%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Göztepe
Turkish Super League
08.11.25	Kasımpaşa - Göztepe	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Göztepe - Gençlerbirliği	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Galatasaray - Göztepe	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	Alanyaspor - Göztepe	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Göztepe - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLLW
- Kocaelispor
Turkish Super League
09.11.25	Kocaelispor - Galatasaray	1:0 ✺
31.10.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Kocaelispor	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Kocaelispor - Alanyaspor	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Konyaspor - Kocaelispor	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	Kocaelispor - Eyüpspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
03.04.24	Kocaelispor - Göztepe	3:2
04.11.23	Göztepe - Kocaelispor	0:1

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