Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 8

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Gamla Ullevi (Göteborg)

Referee: Klitte F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Max
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 1, Max, TV4 Play


	GAIS		Värnamo

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.71	3.6	4.8
	1.83	3.7	4.45	Watch
	1.86	3.71	4.62
	1.81	3.61	4.56	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.6
	1.81	3.64	4.45	Watch
	1.82	3.7	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.83)	3.63 ↓ (3.65)	4.53 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GAIS
52.9%

Draw
26.1%

Värnamo
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

26%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.7%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GAIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

GAIS - Värnamo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. GAIS (votes: 2 - 50%). Värnamo (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Users Predictions: GAIS will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Krasniqi M. (G) 6. Wangberg A. (C) 12. Frej R. 4. Agren O. 5. Wendin R. 8. Milovanovic W. 7. Aberg J. 10. Boudri A. 9. Lundgren G. 28. Hedlund L. 26. Amatkarijo C.	1. Keto H. (G) 5. Larsson V. 6. Andersson H. 24. Grozdanic E. 3. Bjornstrom A. 11. Wenderson 8. Le Roux L. 22. Thern S. (C) 7. Johansson C. 9. Kalu J. 10. Zeljkovic A.
Substitutes
11. Becirovic E. 24. Beckman F. 22. Cardaklija A. 19. Diabate I. 18. Holmen K. 32. Ibrahim H. 25. Lindberg J. 16. Niklasson R. 13. Sims K. (G)	18. Alsalkhadi M. 39. Andersson V. (G) 21. Badjie A. 32. Bilalovic K. 26. Johansson C. 28. Junior Adjei F. 4. Mohammed R. 2. Rapp J. 20. Winsth F.
Coaches
Holmberg F.	Robledo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Agren O. ⚽, Wendin R. (A),
16', Larsson V. 🟨,
23', Agren O. 🟨,
42', Milovanovic W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Aberg J. ↓, Ibrahim H. ↑,
58', Amatkarijo C. ↓, Niklasson R. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Kalu J. ⚽, Thern S. (A),
65', Johansson C. ↓, Alsalkhadi M. ↑,
70', Hedlund L. ↓, Diabate I. ↑,
70', Boudri A. ↓, Lindberg J. ↑,
76', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Junior Adjei F. ↑,
81', Milovanovic W. ↓, Holmen K. ↑,
83', Kalu J. 🟨,
84', Kalu J. ↓, Bilalovic K. ↑,
88', Lindberg J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GAIS won 2.

GAIS has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Värnamo has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, GAIS is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in GAIS: Henriksson A. (Inactive)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, GAIS won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, GAIS won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GAIS
Swedish Allsvenskan
05.05.25	Elfsborg - GAIS	2:0 ✺
28.04.25	IFK Göteborg - GAIS	1:1 ✺
24.04.25	GAIS - Brommapojkarna	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Djurgården - GAIS	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	GAIS - Degerfors	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTTTW
- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan
03.05.25	Halmstad - Värnamo	4:2 ✺
27.04.25	Värnamo - Norrköping	1:3 ✺
24.04.25	Värnamo - AIK	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Brommapojkarna - Värnamo	3:2 ✺
13.04.25	Värnamo - IFK Göteborg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
20.10.24	GAIS - Värnamo	0:0
08.04.24	Värnamo - GAIS	1:2
Svenska Cupen
30.08.22	GAIS - Värnamo	3:1 ET
26.02.22	Värnamo - GAIS	1:0
Swedish Superettan
16.10.21	GAIS - Värnamo	1:2
10.05.21	Värnamo - GAIS	1:0
12.09.18	GAIS - Värnamo	1:2

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