Match Info

Date: 29 September 2021, Wednesday


	GKS Bełchatów		Arka Gdynia

	1	X	2
	5	4.2	1.47
	7.5	4.9	1.32
	8	4.7	1.31
	9.09	4.6	1.34
	9.5	4.6	1.32
	8.8	5.1	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.98 ↑ (5.05)	4.68 ↑ (3.8)	1.34 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Bełchatów
11.6%

Draw
19.7%

Arka Gdynia
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

23.8%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

19.6%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Bełchatów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GKS Bełchatów's form might have worsened.

Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arka Gdynia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Bełchatów than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

GKS Bełchatów - Arka Gdynia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bełchatów is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Arka is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bełchatów could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Arka is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Bełchatów won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Bełchatów won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Bełchatów
Polish Division 2
24.09.21	Garbarnia Kraków - GKS Bełchatów	1:0 ✺
18.09.21	GKS Bełchatów - Lech Poznań 2	0:1 ✺
11.09.21	Olimpia Elbląg - GKS Bełchatów	2:1 ✺
04.09.21	Motor Lublin - GKS Bełchatów	4:0 ✺
28.08.21	GKS Bełchatów - Pogoń Siedlce	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLLW
- Arka Gdynia
Polish Division 1
25.09.21	Arka Gdynia - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0 ✺
20.09.21	Skra Częstochowa - Arka Gdynia	2:1 ✺
16.09.21	GKS Katowice - Arka Gdynia	2:4 ✺
12.09.21	Arka Gdynia - GKS Tychy	0:1 ✺
28.08.21	Arka Gdynia - Odra Opole	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
08.05.21	GKS Bełchatów - Arka Gdynia	0:3
13.11.20	Arka Gdynia - GKS Bełchatów	1:2
15.04.16	Arka Gdynia - GKS Bełchatów	2:1
18.09.15	GKS Bełchatów - Arka Gdynia	1:1
26.04.14	Arka Gdynia - GKS Bełchatów	1:1
26.09.13	GKS Bełchatów - Arka Gdynia	0:1
Club Friendly
12.02.13	GKS Bełchatów - Arka Gdynia	1:0

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