Match Info

Date: 28 August 2021, Saturday


	GKS Bełchatów		Pogoń Siedlce

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	2.95
	1.95	3.15	3.4
	1.97	3.2	3.4
	2.02	3.31	3.55
	1.95	3.3	3.5
	2.03	3.28	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.98)	3.27 ↓ (3.32)	3.38 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Bełchatów
45.4%

Draw
27.7%

Pogoń Siedlce
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

27.1%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

19%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for GKS Bełchatów have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Bełchatów than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with GKS Bełchatów that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pogoń Siedlce could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

GKS Bełchatów - Pogoń Siedlce Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Bełchatów will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bełchatów won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Bełchatów won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Bełchatów
Polish Division 2
21.08.21	Hutnik - GKS Bełchatów	0:1 ✺
18.08.21	GKS Bełchatów - Śląsk Wrocław 2	1:1 ✺
14.08.21	Ruch Chorzów - GKS Bełchatów	4:0 ✺
07.08.21	GKS Bełchatów - Znicz Pruszków	3:2 ✺
31.07.21	Wisła Puławy - GKS Bełchatów	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTLWL
- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 2
22.08.21	Pogoń Siedlce - Motor Lublin	4:2 ✺
18.08.21	Olimpia Elbląg - Pogoń Siedlce	2:1 ✺
14.08.21	Hutnik - Pogoń Siedlce	1:3 ✺
08.08.21	Pogoń Siedlce - Śląsk Wrocław 2	0:3 ✺
Polish Cup
04.08.21	Pogoń Siedlce - Olimpia Elbląg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
10.11.18	GKS Bełchatów - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1
21.07.18	Pogoń Siedlce - GKS Bełchatów	0:0
Polish Division 1
30.04.16	Pogoń Siedlce - GKS Bełchatów	1:0
03.10.15	GKS Bełchatów - Pogoń Siedlce	0:0

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