Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 25

Date: 22 March 2024, Friday


	Pogoń Siedlce		Olimpia Elbląg

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.25	3.4
	2	3.4	3.3
	1.96	3.49	3.81
	1.89	3.49	3.81
	1.91	3.3	3.3
	1.94	3.38	3.5	Watch
	2.07	3.45	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.8)	3.39 ↓ (3.6)	3.5 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Siedlce
46.8%

Draw
27%

Olimpia Elbląg
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

25.2%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pogoń Siedlce's form might have worsened.

Olimpia Elbląg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń Siedlce, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Pogoń Siedlce - Olimpia Elbląg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Burek J. (G) 20. Bujalski C. 14. Burka D. 56. Demianiuk C. (C) 31. Dzieciol E. 55. Karwot M. 11. Majewski M. 3. Majewski R. 21. Milasius T. 18. Pyrdol P. 16. Sinior J.	27. Witan A. (C) 11. Famulak M. 21. Filipczyk K. 9. Gabrych M. 13. Kuczalek M. 24. Mruk B. 29. Sangowski J. 3. Sarnowski L. 16. Spychala M. 30. Wierzba D. 28. Yatsenko O.
Substitutes
8. Bogusiewicz K. 23. Derlatka H. 97. Kowynia J. (G) 10. Mis K. 22. Myszkowski O. 26. Okusami J. 91. Walczak T. 99. Wicenciak B.	6. Bartos K. 7. Jozwicki K. 19. Kozera D. 23. Labecki K. 4. Laszak K. 22. Legowski L. (G) 25. Pirog J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Famulak M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Karwot M. 🟨,
57', Yatsenko O. ↓, Kozera D. ↑,
57', Gabrych M. ↓, Bartos K. ↑,
58', Bartos K. 🟨,
65', Sangowski J. 🟨,
65', Wierzba D. ↓, Jozwicki K. ↑,
72', Bujalski C. ↓, Mis K. ↑,
72', Majewski M. ↓, Walczak T. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Walczak T. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pogoń Siedlce won 1.

Recent matches Pogoń Siedlce is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Elbląg is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Elbląg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Elbląg have a series of guest games.

Pogoń Siedlce will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Pogoń Siedlce won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Siedlce won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 2
17.03.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Polonia Bytom	3:3 ✺
13.03.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Stomil Olsztyn	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Pogoń Siedlce	2:3 ✺
01.03.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Hutnik	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	KKS Kalisz - Pogoń Siedlce	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWWTL
- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 2
17.03.24	GKS Jastrzębie - Olimpia Elbląg	1:2 ✺
10.03.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:2 ✺
06.03.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - Olimpia Elbląg	3:0 ✺
02.03.24	Radunia Stężyca - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1 ✺
28.02.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
20.09.23	Olimpia Elbląg - Pogoń Siedlce	1:0
Polish Cup
09.08.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1
Polish Division 2
04.03.23	Olimpia Elbląg - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1
06.08.22	Pogoń Siedlce - Olimpia Elbląg	0:1
26.02.22	Pogoń Siedlce - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1
18.08.21	Olimpia Elbląg - Pogoń Siedlce	2:1
Polish Cup
04.08.21	Pogoń Siedlce - Olimpia Elbląg	0:3

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