Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 31

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: GIEKSA Arena (Belchatow)


	GKS Bełchatów		Widzew Łódź II

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.75	2.58
	2.23	3.86	2.6
	2.09	4.65	2.5	Watch
	2.2	3.6	2.5
	2.18	3.95	2.7	Watch
	2.63	3.47	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.63)	3.88 ↑ (3.47)	2.51 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Bełchatów
40.4%

Draw
23.4%

Widzew Łódź II
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

25.5%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

24.5%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Bełchatów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in GKS Bełchatów's performance.

Widzew Łódź II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Bełchatów than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with GKS Bełchatów that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Widzew Łódź II than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Widzew Łódź II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

GKS Bełchatów - Widzew Łódź II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
25', 1 - 0, Wojcik M. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Ratajczyk A. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Przybulek F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 1 - 3, Gryzio D. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7).

In recent matches, Bełchatów has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Widzew Łódź II is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bełchatów may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bełchatów won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Widzew Lodz II	10	4	2	4	21:18	3	14

Last Results with these Odds

GKS Bełchatów - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 33.67%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Bełchatów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
08.05.26	Wikielec - GKS Bełchatów	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	GKS Bełchatów - Olimpia Elbląg	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Wigry Suwałki - GKS Bełchatów	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	GKS Bełchatów - Warta Sieradz	3:3 ✺
12.04.26	Wasilków - GKS Bełchatów	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWTTL
- Widzew Łódź II
Polish Division 3 - Group I
10.05.26	Widzew Łódź II - Olimpia Elbląg	3:0 ✺
30.04.26	Wisła Płock II - Widzew Łódź II	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Widzew Łódź II	1:4 ✺
19.04.26	Widzew Łódź II - Wasilków	2:3 ✺
15.04.26	Wikielec - Widzew Łódź II	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
26.10.25	Widzew Łódź II - GKS Bełchatów	3:0

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