Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 16

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Wisła Płock II		Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.35	2.68
	2.16	3.59	2.76
	2.25	3.57	2.72	Watch
	2.26	3.42	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.17)	3.48 ↓ (3.8)	2.72 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Płock II
40.6%

Draw
26.1%

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

23.9%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

23.1%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Płock II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock II than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Wisła Płock II - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Glaz J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 1 - 1, Wojciechowski M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 8).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Świt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock II won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Wisła Płock II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Płock II
Polish Division 3 - Group I
02.11.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Wisła Płock II	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Wisła Płock II - Warta Sieradz	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Wisła Płock II	4:1 ✺
12.10.25	Widzew Łódź II - Wisła Płock II	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Wisła Płock II - Wasilków	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWLWW
- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
31.10.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	ŁKS Łomża - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Znicz Biała Piska	4:0 ✺
11.10.25	Wikielec - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
31.05.25	Wisła Płock II - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:0
09.11.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wisła Płock II	2:2

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